Weather Forcasts......Bah Humbug

Texasmark · Sep 19, 2014

Where else can you be wrong 50+% of the time and still have a job? I got my fields all prep'd for my cool season Rye planting and was holding off to get some ground moisture built back up before planting. Weather forecast indicated 4 days (today is the 4th) of consecutive thunder storms, the latter of which would be the Pacific typhoon (hurricane) off the Baha Peninsula moving across AZ, NM, and on into TX.

So I race around getting the seed out Monday and wait and wait and wait and......

I guess it will just sit there till it gets wet. Another well known weather source that predicts long range weather said this will be an extremely wet winter here. Well, It had better hurry up and get started as I see it. I would like to get some sprouts before they drown and the winter frosts set in in addition to wanting some ground cover to prevent erosion when the monsoon comes. Course the flip side of the coin is that we will welcome the moisture as we are way behind what we need.

Mark

mikim · Sep 19, 2014

Forecasters are in advertising --- not production. If you have a problem with production you need to talk to "The BOSS". Usually done on ones knees...if he listens or not....well....we hope he does, right?:thumbsup:

lt190b · Sep 19, 2014

Texasmark said:
Where else can you be wrong 50+% of the time and still have a job? I got my fields all prep'd for my cool season Rye planting and was holding off to get some ground moisture built back up before planting. Weather forecast indicated 4 days (today is the 4th) of consecutive thunder storms, the latter of which would be the Pacific typhoon (hurricane) off the Baha Peninsula moving across AZ, NM, and on into TX.

So I race around getting the seed out Monday and wait and wait and wait and......

I guess it will just sit there till it gets wet. Another well known weather source that predicts long range weather said this will be an extremely wet winter here. Well, It had better hurry up and get started as I see it. I would like to get some sprouts before they drown and the winter frosts set in in addition to wanting some ground cover to prevent erosion when the monsoon comes. Course the flip side of the coin is that we will welcome the moisture as we are way behind what we need.

Mark

Speaking of forcastsView attachment blue area.bmp wonder if this correct?

Texasmark · Sep 20, 2014

Gotcha you on the production. Who knows on the blue map.

Mark

Grateful11 · Sep 24, 2014

This has been one of the absolute worse years we've ever seen for all weather forecasters, National, AccuWeather, TWC, WeatherUnderground, all of them. Many over at the Haytalk forum are saying the same thing. Right now we're in an Appalachian wedge of like near late Nov. weather, highs in the 50's and low 60's, drizzling rain and easterly wind flow, very strange for us. Our current weather wasn't forecasted by anyone except a guy called WxSouth. Everyone else forecasted clear to partly cloudy and average temps all week.

zzvyb6 · Sep 24, 2014

Farmer's Almanac has been pretty accurate for my area. It's forecasts are compared to my knee pain and back ache. The same computer models used to predict tomorrow's weather are the ones predicting the and of the world next year. AND, running the models with a negative delta-T (to make time go backwards) are getting last week's weather forecast wrong. Weather forecasting is entertainment, not newsworthy.

F/A was also right on best time to buy a car this month.

Gary Fowler · Sep 25, 2014

lt190b said:
Speaking of forcastsView attachment 391142 wonder if this correct?

I don't have much faith in a map that predicts below normal snow for area of south Texas and Florida that never get snow so how can it be below normal. Anything below Louisiana/ Arkansas line has very infrequent snow and maybe just a dusting at that. Anything below Central Louisiana meridian would be a freak of nature to have snow.

PMA · Sep 25, 2014

I know what you mean. I cut hay last Saturday, suppose to be clear through Wednesday. Got about have baked Monday when the rain came. It's rained or been cloudy since, still have around 15 acres on the ground.

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