The problem with using this sort of news for choosing investment strategy is that the big gamblers, the hedge funds and investment banks, have better research and have already placed big bets that will make the small investor's result random rather that predictable.Why a US Recession Is Still Likely — and Coming Soon
(Bloomberg) -- When everyone expects a soft landing, brace for impact. That’s the lesson of recent economic history — and it’s an uncomfortable one for the US right now.Most Read from BloombergWhy a US Recession Is Still Likely — and Coming SoonSevere Crash Is Coming for US Office Properties...finance.yahoo.com
Vanguard 2030 (VTHRX) retirement fund is down 12% over the last 3 years and even for the last 5 years.The problem with using this sort of news for choosing investment strategy is that the big gamblers, the hedge funds and investment banks, have better research and have already placed big bets that will make the small investor's result random rather that predictable.
As I've noted several times simply holding S&P 500 through its ups and downs will exceed the investment results of 85% of retail investors.
Related, I read that ALL of the price appreciation of the S&P that benefits the long term retail investor, is not made during the hours the market is open but rather reflects behind the scenes major trading that the public can't see. So a buy and hold strategy is the only way to benefit from this or most other index funds. Instead of calling your broker when you see something interesting in the news.
Now - Should we all buy Tesla stock after its pricer has declined a little?
Capitalism is a metastable system. It's stable until it's not. There will always be a next recession. That will not necessarily result in a panic like 2008, but the longer we skate the more likely a panic is.Why a US Recession Is Still Likely — and Coming Soon
(Bloomberg) -- When everyone expects a soft landing, brace for impact. That’s the lesson of recent economic history — and it’s an uncomfortable one for the US right now.Most Read from BloombergWhy a US Recession Is Still Likely — and Coming SoonSevere Crash Is Coming for US Office Properties...
Luckily Vanguard money market is paying over 5% right now, it's not a bad place to be. This may be my last chance at bargain prices before retirement. I missed 2009, never sold, and missed 2020, never sold. I'm not making the same mistake this time.
No offense. Are you seeking a personal goal or pricing the market?
Can't do both?
