True you only win if the market goes up,when you loose is when you sell when it is low(no brainer duh),the market has had major declines down through the years,but it has sooner or later always come back to new highs and it will this time as well.It might be a long rough ride this time,I would not be suprised if it is another 2 years before it gets back to 12000 on the dow as for some of those stocks you mentioned,I know they took a hammering,but your big stocks like GE/RD(Royal Dutch Shell) Coca Cola will always come back and eventually reach new highs.I am in the market for the long haul,I do not worry about the market nor do I trade a lot.I buy some good funds and stick with it,I like to read what Peter Lynch of Fidelity and Warren Buffet have to say...these are the 2 most succesful investors I know of..know what you own and know why you own it.I might look at my portfolio 2 times a year and thats it.Dollar cost averaging has always for me rather than trying to time the market,and I if you read what Peter Lynch says he will tell you the same.