My solar contractors figure of 7-8 year payback? no, I guess not. My ten year loan has monthly payments just a touch higher than I normally spend on electricity, so I guess my payback will be 10-12 years. I am kinda frustrated to have installed the system in the fall, because I got great output for about a month before the weather clouded up, now today there is 4" of snow on the panels. So I didn't "bank" any credits from high summer output. If the summer output is as high as I am hoping, I will be able to charge an electric car for free as well and my payback time will plummet, but we'll see how that pans out.
None of this payback calculation factors in the 30% tax credit, either. If I plow that back into my loan and reduce payoff time to 6 years instead of 10.... then it's even better.
But here's the logic that finally swayed me to go solar: If you can get a low-interest loan with monthly payments at all close to your regular monthly electricity bill, and know you will produce enough to be cover all consumption (or get close, anyway).... then solar is basically free. I cringed a bit at getting such a long-term loan (10 years) and I know some people do 12 or even 20 years loans. The equipment typically has a 25 year warranty (to still have 80% or more of rated power). During the loan, you've traded energy bills for a loan bill, and after the loan, your power is free. Just need to flex a little credit up front and jump into some more debt (the american dream, haha). And if you want to think REAL irresponsibly about it: you trade your elec bill for a loan bill and then POCKET the 30% tax credit, so.... you actually get paid to go solar (thanks, taxpayers..?)
edit: I even forgot about the REC (renewable energy credits) that kcassidy mentioned. Mine were projected at about $150 payment to me every year, we'll see.