MODERATE RISK For Severe Weather; Sunday 4/12

   / MODERATE RISK For Severe Weather; Sunday 4/12 #1  

Diggin It

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It is extremely rare to see a Moderate Risk area posted so far in advance. They usually only do it the previous day.

Code:
Day 3 Risk 	Area (sq. mi.) 	Area Pop. 	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
MODERATE 	82,686 	4,706,798 	Birmingham, AL...Jackson, MS...Tuscaloosa, AL...Hoover, AL...Monroe, LA...
ENHANCED 	163,727 	21,559,744 	Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Atlanta, GA...Baton Rouge, LA...

"Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2020

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
CENTRAL/NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...WESTERN/CENTRAL ALABAMA...

...SUMMARY...
An outbreak of severe thunderstorms appears likely Sunday into
Sunday night, with the greatest threat expected from Louisiana
east-northeastward through much of the Southeast and Tennessee
Valley. Strong, long-tracked tornadoes and potentially widespread
damaging wind are possible.

...Synopsis...
The ejecting shortwave trough initially over the southern High
Plains Sunday morning is forecast to move quickly eastward and then
northeastward through the period, as it moves around the periphery
of a deepening longwave trough over the central CONUS. As this
occurs, a surface low will move eastward to the Mississippi Valley
by Sunday afternoon, and then rapidly deepen and move northeastward
into the lower Great Lakes by Monday morning. Very strong mass
response will draw rich low-level moisture northward into portions
of the Southeast. "


Those in affected areas should pay close attention to their NWS Forecast office website and other dependable information sources.
 
   / MODERATE RISK For Severe Weather; Sunday 4/12 #2  
It is extremely rare to see a Moderate Risk area posted so far in advance. They usually only do it the previous day.

Code:
Day 3 Risk 	Area (sq. mi.) 	Area Pop. 	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
MODERATE 	82,686 	4,706,798 	Birmingham, AL...Jackson, MS...Tuscaloosa, AL...Hoover, AL...Monroe, LA...
ENHANCED 	163,727 	21,559,744 	Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Atlanta, GA...Baton Rouge, LA...

"Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2020

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
CENTRAL/NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...WESTERN/CENTRAL ALABAMA...

...SUMMARY...
An outbreak of severe thunderstorms appears likely Sunday into
Sunday night, with the greatest threat expected from Louisiana
east-northeastward through much of the Southeast and Tennessee
Valley. Strong, long-tracked tornadoes and potentially widespread
damaging wind are possible.

...Synopsis...
The ejecting shortwave trough initially over the southern High
Plains Sunday morning is forecast to move quickly eastward and then
northeastward through the period, as it moves around the periphery
of a deepening longwave trough over the central CONUS. As this
occurs, a surface low will move eastward to the Mississippi Valley
by Sunday afternoon, and then rapidly deepen and move northeastward
into the lower Great Lakes by Monday morning. Very strong mass
response will draw rich low-level moisture northward into portions
of the Southeast. "


Those in affected areas should pay close attention to their NWS Forecast office website and other dependable information sources.

Detective says: Seems like "Lower Uncton" must be in this area.
 
   / MODERATE RISK For Severe Weather; Sunday 4/12
  • Thread Starter
#4  
Still active. Main line now moving across AL into GA.
 
   / MODERATE RISK For Severe Weather; Sunday 4/12 #5  
Most of it is through here now but it is still raining. 60+ mph winds reported down near the Gaston/Mecklenburg County line.
 
   / MODERATE RISK For Severe Weather; Sunday 4/12 #6  
... So much for "moderate"!
 
   / MODERATE RISK For Severe Weather; Sunday 4/12 #8  
We had a few small tornadoes touch down very near us here in southern Ohio last week. There was some property damage, but I don't think anyone was hurt. It knocked out our power for about 12 hours.

On a positive note, we finally got some use out of our automatic backup generator, and it was nice to hear the TV talking about something other than the coronavirus for a few hours.
 

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