I read a variety of websites that cover military history and current affairs. The websites are much better than coverage on the "news."
There is a bunch of trash on YouTube but there are some real treasures among the junk.
The Russians are beat and have been beat since Kiev. It has only been a matter of how much blood, time and treasure that has to be spent until they collapse. The collapse the Kharkiv region, with the loss of two important towns, is increasing. In the Kherson area, the Russians have anywhere from 15,000-30,000 men with a river at their back and the bridges across the river are destroyed. A few days ago, the Ukrainians made some very impressive advances and that has continued. The first place I saw this reported was on a YouTube channel. Part of the advance has been down the Dneiper river/lake keeping their left flank covered. The Ukrainians have been making brilliant use of the terrain. One of things that the "press" has been missing is the large number of tanks the Poles have given the Ukrainians as well as the number they had at the start of the war. The Poles have given the 2-3 US armored divisions worth of tanks. From what I could tell, the Ukrainians were not really throwing their tank formations into battle. They seem to be now.
They town of Lyman that was just recaptured was reported to have 5,000 Russians in the area. They only had one road out that could be targeted by Ukrainian artillery and ambush teams. Some Russians got out, I have seen videos of them sitting around in disorder, but how many died or were captured, is only known to the Ukrainians. I don't think the Russians have a clue. The Russian loss of officers is huge and they are sending in cadets from at least one military academy to provide leadership. The Russians have lost 15-20 general officers which is unreal. One looses this number of general officers in widespread defeat. I can only think of a couple of US general officers killed in combat since WWII. But the leadership losses are far worse down to the platoon level. The Russians do not have NCOs like we have in the US. With no officers they have no direction.
I read a statement from a US naval officer who visited the Moskva years ago. He said the officers had name tags on their uniforms. Sailor just had a number...
The Russians certainly look like they are going to increasingly, and quickly, loose more ground in the north eastern part of Ukraine and the Kherson is looking to be the Russian's Stalingrad in this war. How fast this happens is the big question. The Ukrainians seem to be avoiding over extending themselves, while maintaining pressure on the Russian,s as well as keeping the soldiers rested and supplied. It is a delicate balance. Weather has slowed the Ukrainians down in the Kherson area and that is likely to be an issue in the country until the ground freezes.
The wild card is the tactical nukes. I don't see how they can help Putin militarily and the allies are again telling Putin to not do it. He has backed down on similar issues, but this time, with the increasing destruction of what remains of the Russian military, along with the disorder with the mobilization, Putin really has his back to the wall. I have read of one attack on him but who knows if it really happened. One of the reasons that ****** did not allow Germany to surrender was that he wanted the German people to suffer for failing to carry out his dreams/nightmares.
Back to fallout, this is an interesting site that shows one the effects of various size weapons,
NUKEMAP by Alex Wellerstein. The very horrifying war heads were the ones in the mega ton(Mt) yields. The website allows one to have the weapon air burst or surface burst, the later producing the worst fallout.
Later,
Dan
