The earliest that I remember it here was about the 3rd week of October.
La Nina tends to cause warmer, rainier winters here. Perhaps I should buy a vacation home in the midwest someplace.I remember having to use snowmobiles as the only way to get to deer camp in mid November. Definitely not this year, it was 70+ degrees 2 days ago now it's mid 30s and snowing however as others have noted signs of a long harsher winter, from previous yrs I've noted if the great lakes stay warmer later it usually means a lot more lake effect snow continuing later in the winter. I also believe it's the third yr in a row of lanina which also could mean a longer harsher winter in the great lakes region.