Bubba43, I've had my NX410HST cab for almost six years (and love it), so will offer my thoughts on this. As you probably know, the NX4510HST and NX5010HST are identical tractors, with the only difference being the ECU tuning for fuel delivery by the common rail injection system. So, you are correct to ask if the 5 hp increase, alone, is worth the additional $1,600.
For more stability on your hilly property, I'm assuming you'll go with R3 or R4 tires for their greater width, and also have the rears filled. With respect to FEL and backhoe performance, I don't think there would be any difference at all between the two models. Ditto when using a grapple on your FEL, as you'll likely want one if 90 percent of your property is woods.
Your third main use, grading with a box blade, is a different story, IMO, and the hilly conditions that you have change the analysis for me. With a fully loaded box blade, and even more so with your scarifiers down, an increase of 5 hp would allow you to work a little bit faster. It would also be noticeable climbing hills in medium range, with or without the box blade.
Unless the $1,600 up-charge would be really painful for you right now, I think I'd opt for the NX5010HST. You'd never regret having the additional hp available, and after a few months the pain of the upcharge will likely be a faint memory. :laughing: