ForestGrump
Silver Member
You keep talking about doomsayers, people were concerned about weir failing and the lake emptying by cutting a new channel right at the weir. If you look at the dam as a system, it failed, and needs hundreds of millions in repairs. The scale of damage is staggering. Anyone who thinks we didn't dodge a huge bullet is not being honest.
This is scary, we agree! Beside the failed spillway there is a huge and very deep gorge. The geology that the dam and spillways were on failed and therefore the dam has failed, not literally but technically. The dam may not be anchored as well as they thought it was, basically it's an earthen dam on earth, not rock. I would give that geologist a D-. Nothing new, all the recent big earthquakes in California have occurred in thrust faults, relatively unknowns in the EQ geologist world but very well known in the Petroleum geologists world - Coalinga, Northridge,Landers, Big Bear .... Santa Monica Blvd. is built on a thrust fault.
How much to stabilize, bet its close to $800 million. Maybe not even feasible. Bet you see new guidelines in the future about a new maximum capacity level, somewhere about 50 to 75' down from full.