Z-Michigan
Veteran Member
I think you're actually going to see the Chinese starting to die off somewhat in the not too distant future. It will undoubtedly be obscured by government control of information, but it will happen. OTOH, though, there are probably more Chinese living than indicated by their government stats due to repressive population control giving an incentive to hide people.
I'm not against clean air; I support reasonable emission controls. I just have a problem with the specific way that Calif tends to regulate things, apparently including this regulation. Let me make an observation - if this requires retrofits or simply outlaws currently in use equipment, the following seems likely:
-big construction companies will replace their equipment and will raise their prices; they will not have trouble financing new equipment.
-small and solo construction companies will have trouble getting the cash or financing to replace the equipment. Many will go out of business or move out of state.
-less competition from small outfits will let big companies raise their prices even more.
-higher prices for construction will result in less new construction and will cause prices of existing structures to rise; property owners and banks will do well, while renters will do poorly.
I think the ineffective lobbying against this may be because big operators will see a net profit over time as small operators get squeezed out. Call me cynical, or explain why I'm wrong.
The ag and under-25hp exemptions are interesting too. I bet ag is because the ag lobby doesn't see a benefit in new equipment, and with the central valley and the fruit crop it's a major industry. I have to say a very environment-unfriendly industry with the scale of pesticide use and irrigation, but I don't think this is all about environmentalism - I think the other, more base green is at work. And the sub 25hp may be a bone tossed to lawnmowing operations (most, but not all, commercial mowers are below 25hp) and maybe to big property owners who own that same type of grounds maintenance equipment. I cannot see any good reason for exempting below 25hp when you figure how much construction equipment is only in the 30-80hp range.
Clearly I have more general opinions about California but those are admittedly outside the original scope of this discussion.
I'm not against clean air; I support reasonable emission controls. I just have a problem with the specific way that Calif tends to regulate things, apparently including this regulation. Let me make an observation - if this requires retrofits or simply outlaws currently in use equipment, the following seems likely:
-big construction companies will replace their equipment and will raise their prices; they will not have trouble financing new equipment.
-small and solo construction companies will have trouble getting the cash or financing to replace the equipment. Many will go out of business or move out of state.
-less competition from small outfits will let big companies raise their prices even more.
-higher prices for construction will result in less new construction and will cause prices of existing structures to rise; property owners and banks will do well, while renters will do poorly.
I think the ineffective lobbying against this may be because big operators will see a net profit over time as small operators get squeezed out. Call me cynical, or explain why I'm wrong.
The ag and under-25hp exemptions are interesting too. I bet ag is because the ag lobby doesn't see a benefit in new equipment, and with the central valley and the fruit crop it's a major industry. I have to say a very environment-unfriendly industry with the scale of pesticide use and irrigation, but I don't think this is all about environmentalism - I think the other, more base green is at work. And the sub 25hp may be a bone tossed to lawnmowing operations (most, but not all, commercial mowers are below 25hp) and maybe to big property owners who own that same type of grounds maintenance equipment. I cannot see any good reason for exempting below 25hp when you figure how much construction equipment is only in the 30-80hp range.
Clearly I have more general opinions about California but those are admittedly outside the original scope of this discussion.