Corona Virus #4

[rswyan]

A good explainer of the current state of play and where things stand, in terms of the public health perspective:

As of March 14 at 8:00 a.m., the state of North Carolina has a total of 680 public (i.e., non-commercial) #coronavirus test kits.

So the big question is, “Why don’t we have more tests?”

Here’s the situation:

Twitter

 

[rswyan]

Coronavirus is most contagious before, during first week of symptoms | Science News

 

[California]

A good explainer of the current state of play and where things stand, in terms of the public health perspective:


Twitter

Twitter thread: Where are the test kits?

 

[California]

And a calmer post. South Bend is now parking wifi-equiped school buses out in the neighborhoods so kids can do their homework.

 

[rswyan]

The COVID Tracking Project (@COVID19Tracking) on Twitter

 

[California]

Here's an interesting NYT article with a chart you can manipulate. Essentially it shows that earliest possible intervention flattens the spike of near-simultaneous cases that will over-run any health care system such as is happening in Italy now where people are dying of neglect in the chaos.

The most important intervention measure mentioned is extreme social isolation, closing events and schools, working from home.

Paywall but I discovered its free to read if you give them an email they can spam, they claim 'check here' will avoid that spam. I'll see ...


How Much Worse the Coronavirus Could Get, in Charts (and scroll down)

By Nicholas Kristof and Stuart A. Thompson
March 13, 2020


Static picture of the chart. In the article, moving intervention (yellow) earlier (to the left) shows a flatter curve the earlier you go.

 

[Wagtail]

Here's an interesting NYT article with a chart you can manipulate. Essentially it shows that earliest possible intervention flattens the spike of near-simultaneous cases that will over-run any health care system such as is happening in Italy now where people are dying of neglect, in the chaos.

The most important intervention measure mentioned is extreme social isolation, closing events and schools, working from home.

Paywall but I discovered its free to read if you give them an email they can spam, they claim 'check here' will avoid that spam. I'll see ...


How Much Worse the Coronavirus Could Get, in Charts

By Nicholas Kristof and Stuart A. Thompson
March 13, 2020

That is a bloody good, interactive, chart!

Our PM came on TV (again, almost daily 'briefings') and explained what we (Aus) are doing, using a similar chart. He was flanked by one of the Health Experts advising the government.

We're going to take a huge hit, financially, in the tourist/foreign student/overseas work visa area... As of midnight tonight, ALL people arriving in Aus are to self-quarantine for a fortnight. No non-essential gathering of 500+ people. Heaps more regarding interaction with other people. No cruise ships can dock for the next month.

Schools & universities are not to be closed. That could change, of course... it's probably only a matter of time.

It's all designed to slow the onset of this virus so that our medical system is not overwhelmed.

ANZAC Day, the big and emotional Veterans Parade & Ceremony is coming upon 25th April... we'll see what the contingency plan will be for that.

 

[California]

bloody good, interactive, chart! ... We're going to take a huge hit, financially, in the tourist/foreign student/overseas work visa area... ALL people arriving in Aus are to self-quarantine for a fortnight. ... No cruise ships can dock for the next month.

It's all designed to slow the onset of this virus so that our medical system is not overwhelmed.

Thanks. I think the drastic measures illustrated in the chart will become necessary worldwide.

And I think the world economy is going to take a big hit, as you described, bigger than is reflected in present stock prices.

 

[rswyan]

Thanks. I think the drastic measures illustrated in the chart will become necessary worldwide.

And I think the world economy is going to take a big hit, as you described, bigger than is reflected in present stock prices.

I think that may well turn out to be the case ... as it dawns on the market what the longer term ramifications could potentially be.

Still too much unknown about the virus ... that's why you see the degree of caution you do from professionals like Fauci, during his testimony.

Doubtless that will make those looking for "happy talk" unhappy.

 

[dragoneggs]

Have a pretty good friend who is a funeral director and like he says... We always get you in the end...

That sounds like a welcome pitch at the penitentiary? Weinstein is ready... he's already bending over and deservingly so. :laughing:

They send you junk because you aren稚 willing to pay the price it would cost to manufacture locally.

And more to the point, the specifications we provide allow for the quality we accept. The Chinese make some very high tech/high quality stuff. Don't be too quick to dismiss them.

I think that may well turn out to be the case ... as it dawns on the market what the longer term ramifications could potentially be.

Still too much unknown about the virus ... that's why you see the degree of caution you do from professionals like Fauci, during his testimony.

Doubtless that will make those looking for "happy talk" unhappy.

I think we will see a steady clamp down on our freedoms until we are convinced we are well on the downside of the curve. I am finding it hard to argue the steps we are taking to date. My hope is enough of us will take personal responsibility to curb the virus as fast as possible.