I think you've nailed it pretty well. The current standard of living in the developed nations is such that we consume most of the resources for a relatively small number of people. As other societies develop a better standard of living (China, for example), it's obvious that we will be increasingly competing for those resources -- there are not enough resources to sustain our standard across the board.
It should be fairly easy to predict where we will all end up -- simply determine the total resources, for example the existing and potential reserves of essential items like crude oil or iron ore, and divide these resources by the total number of potential users, i.e. the world's population.
The only answer I can see is the development of alternative resources and better methods of utilizing the resources we have. Things like alternative materials and alternative sources of energy, preferably in renewable or inexhaustible sources. Our Nation has done a remarkable job with food, for example, beating the Malthusiast Theory. It remains to be accomplished with other resources.
The only other answer I can see, and one that has worked effectively in the past, is to kill off some of the world's population, through disease or war, in order to preserve the existing resources for ourselves.
The rest of the world observes us unilaterally and preemptively attacking other nations; and see that we are not making any effective headway against things like Aids and starvation; and sees us propping up questionable characters when it's convenient for us, and has made their judgment about us. The good that we do cannot begin to balance the bad that we foster or allow to continue.
I think it is possible to break out of the cycle that you have outlined so well, if we have the collective will to forget about greedily protecting what we have and make a serious effort to create alternatives that will benefit everyone. But then, I always have been an optimistic, progressive, utopian idealist.
It should be fairly easy to predict where we will all end up -- simply determine the total resources, for example the existing and potential reserves of essential items like crude oil or iron ore, and divide these resources by the total number of potential users, i.e. the world's population.
The only answer I can see is the development of alternative resources and better methods of utilizing the resources we have. Things like alternative materials and alternative sources of energy, preferably in renewable or inexhaustible sources. Our Nation has done a remarkable job with food, for example, beating the Malthusiast Theory. It remains to be accomplished with other resources.
The only other answer I can see, and one that has worked effectively in the past, is to kill off some of the world's population, through disease or war, in order to preserve the existing resources for ourselves.
The rest of the world observes us unilaterally and preemptively attacking other nations; and see that we are not making any effective headway against things like Aids and starvation; and sees us propping up questionable characters when it's convenient for us, and has made their judgment about us. The good that we do cannot begin to balance the bad that we foster or allow to continue.
I think it is possible to break out of the cycle that you have outlined so well, if we have the collective will to forget about greedily protecting what we have and make a serious effort to create alternatives that will benefit everyone. But then, I always have been an optimistic, progressive, utopian idealist.