It's interesting to read all of this on zero-tillage. For years around here the trend has been to minimum tillage with only a few trips over the ground per year. Lately, it's evolved further and my farm ground hasn't had any tillage for the past five years and yields are fine. This year, right after planting, we had a month-long drought but the beans looked OK. With rainfall after that, the crop now looks great and plants are 3'-4' tall and full of pods. There is a reduced need for fertilizer but I can't imagine growing corn over corn over corn without fertilizer because corn takes so much out of the ground.
From what I've learned of zero tillage, I no longer "rip" my vegetable garden 12" down but just cultivate each fall and then plant in the spring. Other factors enter into things but we're having the highest tomato yield ever this year. We normally get 175 lb to 200 lb and this year are already at 235 lbs and maybe 100 lbs are still left to ripen.
With most of the corn belt having some element of clay compaction, I think you'll still need to vertical tillage rip the ground every x number of years--maybe 5. This barely ruffles the surface. Gravel type ground such as New England would likely never need tillage and most rocks could stay hidden.
With some yield forecasts doubling going out 25 years, guys wondered how this could be possible. More fertilizer? Coated seeds that you could plant in the fall for the next year? Genetic improvement in seed? Probably all these things but zero tillage will likely have a huge impact as well.