I bought a used 2000 Century Buick last year. One owner with 80K miles on it. Replaced the water pump in the fall and replaced the hoses and belt while we was doing the water pump and flush. Looked like the hoses were original and showed some signs of deterioration. 16 years was long enough in my book. I usually inspect every 5 years with anti freeze flush and replace if needed. I usually trade every 5 to 10 years so sometimes they don't necessarily get changed. Can't ever remember a hose blowing on me. Watch one let loose now.