Diggin It
Super Star Member
It is extremely rare to see a Moderate Risk area posted so far in advance. They usually only do it the previous day.
"Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2020
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
CENTRAL/NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...WESTERN/CENTRAL ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
An outbreak of severe thunderstorms appears likely Sunday into
Sunday night, with the greatest threat expected from Louisiana
east-northeastward through much of the Southeast and Tennessee
Valley. Strong, long-tracked tornadoes and potentially widespread
damaging wind are possible.
...Synopsis...
The ejecting shortwave trough initially over the southern High
Plains Sunday morning is forecast to move quickly eastward and then
northeastward through the period, as it moves around the periphery
of a deepening longwave trough over the central CONUS. As this
occurs, a surface low will move eastward to the Mississippi Valley
by Sunday afternoon, and then rapidly deepen and move northeastward
into the lower Great Lakes by Monday morning. Very strong mass
response will draw rich low-level moisture northward into portions
of the Southeast. "
Those in affected areas should pay close attention to their NWS Forecast office website and other dependable information sources.
Code:
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
MODERATE 82,686 4,706,798 Birmingham, AL...Jackson, MS...Tuscaloosa, AL...Hoover, AL...Monroe, LA...
ENHANCED 163,727 21,559,744 Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Atlanta, GA...Baton Rouge, LA...
"Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0244 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2020
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR
CENTRAL/NORTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...WESTERN/CENTRAL ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
An outbreak of severe thunderstorms appears likely Sunday into
Sunday night, with the greatest threat expected from Louisiana
east-northeastward through much of the Southeast and Tennessee
Valley. Strong, long-tracked tornadoes and potentially widespread
damaging wind are possible.
...Synopsis...
The ejecting shortwave trough initially over the southern High
Plains Sunday morning is forecast to move quickly eastward and then
northeastward through the period, as it moves around the periphery
of a deepening longwave trough over the central CONUS. As this
occurs, a surface low will move eastward to the Mississippi Valley
by Sunday afternoon, and then rapidly deepen and move northeastward
into the lower Great Lakes by Monday morning. Very strong mass
response will draw rich low-level moisture northward into portions
of the Southeast. "
Those in affected areas should pay close attention to their NWS Forecast office website and other dependable information sources.