rswyan
Super Star Member
- Joined
- May 12, 2004
- Messages
- 11,410
- Location
- Northeast Ohio
- Tractor
- Kubota B2910, Cub Cadet Pro Z 154S, Simplicity 18 CFC, Cub Cadet 782
Different supplier than the previous two quotes: $1.28/gallon, 150 gallon minimum ...
Let's do some calculations.
First, we have to estimate the bottom price? Let's be stupid optimistic and say $2 p/gallon savings.
Second, how much fuel do we want to hoard? Let's be stupid and say 500 gallons. So we are assuming we are going to save $1000. It might take us two years to recoup the investment? That's assuming 250 gallons per year??
Third, how much will it cost us to purchase the necessary equipment to do this venture? Probably going to pay $500 for a storage tank. Another $100 to rig it up with a hand pump? So we invested $600.
Fourth, our potential profit is $400. It will take us 24 months to realize this profit. So for the next 24 months we will potentially save $17 p/month.
Fifth, would we borrow the money to do this venture? Probably not because the payback is so low. So why would we do it?
I was quoted $1.06 for delivered off-road fuel yesterday with it to be delivered tomorrow.
A few days ago there was a photo of a fleet of tankers anchored off California as storage waiting for prices to improve.
Google for 'photo tankers offshore'. This brought up 3 dozen parked off Galveston, too many to count off Singapore.They're everywhere.
It's going to be a while before shale oil turns profitable.
I don't know anything about the oil industry but one thing I see is this is really hurting the less-prosperous producing countries. Especially for Venezuela this is compounding their disaster now, with no oil revenue to buy imported food and medicine. I suspect there is similar impact in Nigeria, a big oil producer, but I haven't read anything about that. Russia and Saudi Arabia are crushing the competition. Combined with covid - strange times.Are they waiting for prices to improve, or are they waiting to find empty storage tanks to discharge their virtually worthless cargo to? The story I am aware of is that the on shore storage facilities are mostly full. Theres no place to put the oil, and no market, so it sits in tankers offshore.