The consumer is holding up. Prices will come down when the consumer stops buying. That probably won't be until 2023 sometime. People still have access to credit, and are using it to fill the gaps now. Once that credit is maxed out, activity stalls and we go down and fast.
That also means job losses.
The fed needs to stop yo-yoing these interest rates. In economics, there is a thing called the natural interest rate. It's the rate at which it neither expands nor suppresses economic activity. Nobody knows the exact rate at the exact time in a economic cycle, but it's between 3-4%. If the fed would just keep rates around this natural interest rate, we would not have these high and lows speculative and depressive patterns. This is taught in basic economic classes. It's like these PHD's forget the basics and try to out smart economic principles.
This next recession/depression is going to hurt those that don't have liquid assests that can't get converted to cash fast.
In 2021 holding cash was dumb, in 2022 holding cash is what is needed to do. Economic cycles should not be this short.