California Drought

[NoTrespassing]

The California drought that many "experts" claimed would never end, seems to be gone, at least for now. If the "expert's" salaries depended on the accuracy of their predictions, they would be penniless.

 

[ultrarunner]

It does seem we go from one crisis to the next when it come to experts…

 

[ponytug]

Weather is variable. Period. Look at any time series of historic weather data.

That said there are definite trends in the data depending on where you live. Much of California happens to be pretty dry, today, and for much of recent history. There are long term shifts in rainfall toward higher and toward lower rainfalls across the world. Pick your time frame, and reference point.

I would stay tuned for a decade or two before calling a drought in or out. One thing that I personal expect is higher variability; more "100 year" floods and "100 year" droughts.

All the best,

Peter

 

[newbury]

more "100 year" floods and "100 year" droughts.

All the best,

Peter

But 100 year floods (and to some extent droughts) are far from being solely dependent on weather.
Increasing "hard surfacing" due to mankind's tendency to "pave paradise. And put up a parking lot." drastically increases flooding.

 

[NoTrespassing]

Weather is variable. Period. Look at any time series of historic weather data.

That said there are definite trends in the data depending on where you live. Much of California happens to be pretty dry, today, and for much of recent history. There are long term shifts in rainfall toward higher and toward lower rainfalls across the world. Pick your time frame, and reference point.

I would stay tuned for a decade or two before calling a drought in or out. One thing that I personal expect is higher variability; more "100 year" floods and "100 year" droughts.

All the best,

Peter

3.7% of California is classified as abnormally dry.

 

[MAX-24-Dean]

It does seem we go from one crisis to the next when it come to experts…

I always thought that "experts" were there to create the crisis!

 

[MAX-24-Dean]

California water capacity by reservoir.

Major Water Supply Reservoirs

The water storage is at or above average at most reservoirs.

 

[lilranch2001]

Well, with the outflow of people from California the last year or two I’m sure they’re not going through as much water as they used to

 

[ultrarunner]

Well, with the outflow of people from California the last year or two I’m sure they’re not going through as much water as they used to

Plus also predicting a 68 Billion revenue shortfall...

 

[lilranch2001]

Yeah, chase a few more of Elon‘s businesses out of California……