China Corona Virus #2

[Jstpssng]

It wasnt necessary because Ebola can only be transmitted after significant fever develops and the course of the disease proceeds into the messy stage. Self monitoring for fever by a medical professional proved to be 100% effective to establish isolation conditions prior to transmissibility.

Not everybody knew that though.

 

[SPYDERLK]

Not everybody knew that though.

It was belabored in the face of adamant ignorance.

https://www.tractorbynet.com/forums/front-porch/323860-ebola-my-take.html

 

[rekees4300]

Last updated: February 8, 2020, 6:00 ET
Global Totals: Cases=37,155 Deaths=806 Recovered=2,634

Last updated: February 13, 2020, 11:00 AM ET
Global Totals: Cases=60,414 Deaths=1370 Recovered=6,295

Last updated: February 18, 2020, 6:02 PM ET
Global Totals: Cases=75,134 Deaths=2,007 Recovered=14,442

Last updated: February 23, 2020, 12:25 AM ET
Global Totals: Cases=78,993 Deaths=2,470 Recovered=23,419

Last updated: February 28, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Global Totals: Cases=84,144 Deaths=2,876 Recovered=36,873

Worldometer

 

[Ford850]

Last updated: February 8, 2020, 6:00 ET
Global Totals: Cases=37,155 Deaths=806 Recovered=2,634 Death Rate=23%

Last updated: February 13, 2020, 11:00 AM ET
Global Totals: Cases=60,414 Deaths=1370 Recovered=6,295 Death Rate=18%

Last updated: February 18, 2020, 6:02 PM ET
Global Totals: Cases=75,134 Deaths=2,007 Recovered=14,442 Death Rate=12%

Last updated: February 23, 2020, 12:25 AM ET
Global Totals: Cases=78,993 Deaths=2,470 Recovered=23,419 Death Rate=10%

Last updated: February 28, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Global Totals: Cases=84,144 Deaths=2,876 Recovered=36,873 Death Rate=7%

Worldometer

It's great to see the death rate, based on deaths/(recovered+deaths) is steadily dropping as the numbers come in. I added death rates in bold above. I know it isn't true death rate, but it should represent a rate trend at the least, and it's headed in the right direction.

 

[dragoneggs]

It's great to see the death rate, based on deaths/(recovered+deaths) is steadily dropping as the numbers come in. I added death rates in bold above. I know it isn't true death rate, but it should represent a rate trend at the least, and it's headed in the right direction.

Although that is a good sign, I'm not convinced that the death rate indicates much in terms of the future and how this is spreading. Especially if this gets to other third world countries such as in Africa. It could easily go south. The problem even if the death rate continues to drop, the number of cases and numbers that need treatment could easily overwhelm the global health care systems.

 

[hawkeye08]

I read this morning that China (tried to find the article again, but no luck) is under reporting the cases.. that this is likely a mortality rate similar to yearly flu.. No matter what it is, the stock markets have taken a big hit.. I would like to see the market stabilize and get back to where it was sooner than later..

 

[/pine]

The death rate is convoluted as well as the actual spread citing the fact that the vast majority of confirmed cases are considered mild, involving mostly cold-like symptoms to mild pneumonia...mild cases get counted the same as severe ones that may end up being fatal in a certain demographic of patients...

 

[California]

It's great to see the death rate, based on deaths/(recovered+deaths) is steadily dropping as the numbers come in. I added death rates in bold above. I know it isn't true death rate, but it should represent a rate trend at the least, and it's headed in the right direction.

I wonder if testing in the US is sufficient to draw conclusions. Today's NorCal update:

==========

"[California governor] Newsom in a Thursday press conference said the state at that time had access to only about 200 test kits which he said was simply inadequate.

Troisi [infectious disease epidemiologist at UTexasHealth who specializes in viruses] said as of earlier this week, only 426 tests had been performed nationwide. By Thursday, the CDC website showed just 445 tests had been performed."
=========

Why aren't more test kits available?

 

[/pine]

Coronavirus Precautions: International Travelers Arriving At NYC Airports Concerned By Lack Of Screenings – CBS New York

 

[YanmarFever]

Coronavirus: Store Shelves Empty as Panic Buying Hits Italy

They are fighting for food in the stores as of 4 days ago.

Coronavirus: Store Shelves Empty as Panic Buying Hits Italy – Summit News