East Coast: Hurricane Florence

[Diggin It]

 

[Diggin It]

Tropical Storm Florence Advisory Number 40
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
500 AM AST Sun Sep 09 2018

...FLORENCE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 55.8W
ABOUT 765 MI...1235 KM SE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Florence was
located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 55.8 West. Florence is
moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue today. A west-northwestward motion with an
increase in forward speed is expected by Monday, and that motion is
forecast to continue through mid-week. On the forecast track, the
center of Florence will move over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean
between Bermuda and the Bahamas Tuesday and Wednesday, and approach
the southeastern U.S. coast on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Florence is expected to become a hurricane today and rapid
intensification is likely to begin by tonight. Florence is forecast
to become a major hurricane on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Florence are affecting Bermuda and are
beginning to reach portions of the U.S. East Coast. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

 

[Diggin It]

This could be the Real Schlemeil gang. East coasters need to be watching this VERY closely and begin making plans in the next few days.

 

[rekees4300]

Could be another Hugo. :hurricane:

 

[houstonscott]

It’s not a hurricane yet. Hope you guys on east coast ready this time....

 

[dmccarty]

Could be another Hugo. :hurricane:

That is what has me concerned. Hugo did a job on Charlotte but Fran and Floyd really put a hurt to eastern and central NC. Course, this is another F storm. :shocked:

We are making preparations and yesterday I saw people in the store buying water. We will start filling tubs and such in a few days. I put fresh batteries in one radio yesterday and started charging the weather radio this morning. Will have to buy some gas for the chainsaw and generator this week. We were talking about where to park the cars before the storm hits.

I really hate these storms and the odds look good that we will have high winds from the north. We have trees leaning from when Fran came through, and if Florence tracks like I am afraid it will, those leaning trees are going to fall. The trees wont hurt anything but it might take a while to cut our way out.

Fran put a real hurt on the forests in central NC. There is an old quarry built through a ridge in Raleigh. After Fran, they brought in down trees in that quarry and chipped them. The mounds of chipped wood filled in the quarry. Twas unreal. There was so many chips they were just dumping them along side the road in places.

Later,
Dan

 

[rekees4300]

Current ETA is Thursday night and/or Friday morning. Plenty of time for track to change.

 

[Thomas]

Fingers eyes cross she huffs and puffs out sharp right.

 

[kthompson]

Rain before the winds is major reasons for the amount of down trees. We were hit by Hugo and had trees down and some heavy building damage. But Hurricane Matthew, a Cat 1 hit us two years ago with rain and rain before the Cat 1 winds and we had as much if not more trees down as with Hugo.

Yes it is a concern. We are about 20 miles west of Myrtle Beach.

 

[Diggin It]

This is one of those that only people along the coast can decide on what to do. It's a week away and anything can happen, but it isn't forecast to turn as far as I know. Waiting until Wednesday or Thursday to see if it turns or not could leave no time to prepare or evacuate.