Without a code, its going to be guesswork.
I've seen numerous occasions where without a dedicated ground circuit for the furnace, you can never rely on what a self diagnostic board is "telling you".
We call them idiot lights at times because if you follow them blindly, you end up replacing parts without figuring out what the actual problem is and may not solve the issue to boot (and some guys do that without the boards help as well). That's not taking into account that sometimes you're getting a "double negative" (think that's the term) that is giving you a misreading on the board to begin with.
1. Check ground to furnace (should be a dedicated ground)
2. Check gas pressure (inlet and outlet)
3. Check standby and running - line/low voltage / check ALL wiring
4. Check tubing and verify rated pressure for pressure switch/switches
Without a decent manometer and clamp meter ("rated" for HVAC use), yes, you're pretty much guessing.
Don't use sand paper to clean the flame sensor rod. Use mild steel wool
+1
My son suggested to check the roof and see if the chimney is covered with snow, it may not be getting the makeup air it requires, I'll look tomorrow.
Unless the furnace is using a two pipe system or some sort of concentric vent kit which most likely isn't the case (because we're assuming you have a standard 80% non variable speed gas furnace being vented on through the chimney by your comment), the chimney would have nothing to do with make up air (air used for combustion), but something could be obstructed in the vent, which could be causing a pressure related issue.