Get your woolleys warming.

   / Get your woolleys warming. #71  
Scraper vs box blade

Update now forecast is -20 tonight, -21 Sunday and -18 on Monday. Moved some snow today so I could get out and propane truck in. My FEL sure doesn't like this cold temperature, too slow so just my box blade.
 
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   / Get your woolleys warming. #73  
-25 at 6:30 this morning and the Davis weather station says we had +3 at 10:30 but I missed it. Back down to -5 at noon. About 5" of snow on the ground now. Thankfully the wind has stayed down.
 
   / Get your woolleys warming. #74  
You could not be more wrong (believe it or not)...LoL...!

It's all about the controlling factors (winds aloft/ jet stream etc...)...if conditions don't change (and often enough they don't) accurate forecasts out two weeks are easily possible...

Like I've said the NWS updates their forecasts whenever the latest pertinent data is collected...during certain times of the year 10 day forecasts will not change one iota...and are extremely accurate...other times the newly collected data is applied and they update the forecasts...

Maybe out there in the flatland, weather is predictable. In mountainous areas, we're lucky if they get the current temperature within 10 degrees, and predicting rain is a joke. It is fun to watch the storms off the Pacific blow by and know that the rest of the country will see it soon. The one today is a big wet one, so you can expect serious snow in what, 3-4 days?
 
   / Get your woolleys warming. #75  
Maybe out there in the flatland, weather is predictable. In mountainous areas, we're lucky if they get the current temperature within 10 degrees, and predicting rain is a joke. It is fun to watch the storms off the Pacific blow by and know that the rest of the country will see it soon. The one today is a big wet one, so you can expect serious snow in what, 3-4 days?

LoL...I'd hardly call this flatland...:laughing: ...If you can find a flat spot it was made with a dozer...!...steep slopes and dense forest to over 5K elev....some low areas rain forest like (very unique)...

The NWS is very accurate with their forecasts here...but staying up to date is paramount...including reading the latest bulletins and listening to the latest WX radio broadcasts...

The NWS uses the latest data available closest to whatever location is queried...if you live in an area well away from an airport etc...and your elevation is higher than the closest airport...you really can't expect exact temperature predictions...as a rule if you observe your local NWS forecasts it does not take long to figure out how many degrees you need to add or subtract (mental calibration) for your exact location...once you get used to figuring the adjusted temp. you'll find they (the NWS) is very accurate...
 
   / Get your woolleys warming. #77  
Gonna be 30 deg below normal for a few days then slowly climb. About 7 days from now we may get to "normal" temps.

Normal would be good for a change!
 
   / Get your woolleys warming. #78  
LoL...I'd hardly call this flatland...:laughing: ...If you can find a flat spot it was made with a dozer...!...steep slopes and dense forest to over 5K elev....some low areas rain forest like (very unique)...

The NWS is very accurate with their forecasts here...but staying up to date is paramount...including reading the latest bulletins and listening to the latest WX radio broadcasts...

The NWS uses the latest data available closest to whatever location is queried...if you live in an area well away from an airport etc...and your elevation is higher than the closest airport...you really can't expect exact temperature predictions...as a rule if you observe your local NWS forecasts it does not take long to figure out how many degrees you need to add or subtract (mental calibration) for your exact location...once you get used to figuring the adjusted temp. you'll find they (the NWS) is very accurate...

I does help that the weather has been moving toward you for the last 1000 miles. Weather forecast get better the closer to current time it gets. For instance, i can forecast the weather without consulting any of the NWS data, by looking out my window. :D
 
   / Get your woolleys warming.
  • Thread Starter
#79  
"Avoid all unnecessary travel".

I always do that. But I know people that run to the store three or four times a day. I see people out that can't be doing much more than joyriding. They pass by, then less than 15 minutes later, they pass by again. There is NO place you can go and return from in that time here.

If you slide off the road in some places close by, you can slide down a ravine and never be seen again.
 
   / Get your woolleys warming. #80  
When I lived in phoenix the joke was, easiest weatherman job in the world, sunny and....fill in the blank. Not a big fan of Scottsdale but, I do miss the warm sunny weather. Summers are tuff.

Now NC has become the easiest weather to forecast......rain.
 

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