How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous?

   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #371  
Any provision for EV's in that plan? $2,500 for Utilities seems low. But it's interesting that you got a plan as least as good as one by an average consultant, and at far less cost.
So, thats kinda the beauty of AI. It's interactive. So, assuming i still had this prompt in my ChatGPT, I could, .elow the response, raise the question, "isn't $2500 too low when you figure water, sewer, power, for a 600# conditioned waiting area/office, and the tools/compressor/lighting in the 2400# shop area" and it will work up additional info on that topic, and add it the the plan. Same with EVs "does this plan account for growing EV vehicles and their reduced maintenance over coming years". So, you get a pretty basic answer, then you basically argue with it, just a bit, or maybe its better to say, you test the answer against what you know (or think), and it refines the answer down.
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #372  
Excellent point — EV adoption does shift the market, especially over a 3- to 5-year horizon. Let me break it down for you in the context of a Newberry, FL quick lube / mechanic shop:


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EV Market Context (Florida / Newberry area)

Florida statewide EV share (2025): about 3–4% of registered vehicles, growing quickly (~30–40% annual growth).

Alachua County / Newberry: Lower adoption than big cities, but growth is coming as Gainesville commuters upgrade. Expect 5–7% EV share by 2028.

Impact: EVs don’t need oil changes, but they still need: tire service, brakes, coolant (for battery/Thermal Mgmt), cabin filters, A/C service, and suspension work.



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Impact on Quick Lube Revenues

Currently, ~95% of your customer base is still ICE/hybrid.

By Year 3, maybe 7–10% of local customers could be EVs, which is a loss of 5–7% of potential oil-change tickets if you don’t capture them with alternate services.



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Adjusted 3-Year Projection with EV Factor

Year Revenue (Original) EV Impact Adjusted Revenue

Year 1 $700k Negligible (Year 2 $900k -3% (~$27k) ~$873k
Year 3 $1.1M -5–7% (~$55k–$77k) ~$1.02M–$1.045M



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Mitigation / Opportunity

Tires & alignment: EVs wear tires faster (heavier + instant torque). Big revenue opportunity.

Brake & suspension: Still need work, just less frequent.

HVAC & cooling: Battery cooling systems and A/C service = higher-margin items.

EV-friendly positioning: If you advertise “EV tire & service ready” you’ll attract those customers earlier, offsetting oil-change loss.



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So, yes: EVs nibble at the oil-change volume in your 3-year window, but the net revenue drop is only ~5% by Year 3 if you don’t adapt. If you do adapt (tires, filters, A/C, alignments), you can actually make more per ticket.

Would you like me to revise the 3-year financial tables to show a side-by-side:

Scenario A: Traditional ICE focus (no EV services).

Scenario B: EV-inclusive shop (tires + battery cooling + alignment revenue)?


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   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #373  
"So, given the nature of Newberry FL, would it be profitable or a good idea to add a covered carport style bay for class 6 medium duty trucks, with the added expenses"

That’s a sharp idea — adding a covered, drive-through bay for medium-duty trucks (Class 6, e.g., delivery trucks, farm haulers, landscaping rigs) could set your shop apart in Newberry. Let’s weigh it.


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Market fit for Newberry, FL

Agricultural + construction presence: Many farms, horse operations, and contractors use medium-duty trucks (International CV, Ford F-650, Freightliner M2, etc.).

Fleet operators: Local businesses (delivery, landscaping, utilities, municipalities) need fast service and can’t always run into Gainesville.

Competition gap: Most quick lubes target passenger cars/light trucks only. Dealerships and diesel shops in Gainesville serve fleets, but that’s a drive and often slower turnaround.



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Costs of Adding a Truck Bay

Construction (carport style steel canopy, ~18–20’ clear height, 40’ deep, concrete pad): ~$50k–$100k, depending on specs.

Equipment upgrades:

High-capacity lifts (or pit) OR portable jacks = $20k–$40k.

Larger waste oil handling (bigger sump pumps, tanks) = +$10k.

Bigger compressor load (already factored in).


Permits/zoning: Need to confirm commercial zoning allows heavy-duty work (some areas separate “auto service” from “truck service”).



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Operating Impacts

Utilities: Minimal increase (compressor, lighting already factored in).

Labor: Might need one diesel tech or fleet mechanic → +$5k–$7k/month payroll.

Inventory: Larger oil volumes (diesel, DEF, filters) → +$2k–$5k stocked parts.



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Revenue Potential

Medium-duty PM service tickets: $250–$400 each (oil, filters, grease, DEF, inspection).

Frequency: Every 10k–20k miles (some fleets every 3–4 months).

Fleet contracts: Even 5–10 trucks on recurring PMs = $15k–$30k extra per year, per fleet.

With multiple fleets/farms, you could easily add $100k–$200k annual revenue once established.



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Pros

Differentiates your shop from cookie-cutter quick lubes.

Captures higher-margin fleet accounts.

Builds resilience against EV adoption (medium-duty EV penetration will lag far behind cars).

Can cross-sell tire/brake work.


Cons

Higher upfront build-out.

Zoning/permit check required.

Harder to staff diesel/MD truck techs.

Slower bay turnover than cars (1–2 hours vs. 20 mins).



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Bottom Line

For Newberry’s mix of farms, contractors, and fleets, adding one covered truck bay is likely profitable by Year 2–3, especially if you secure fleet contracts (city, county, or private).

If you’re aiming for a competitive edge + long-term growth, it’s a smart play. If you’re keeping startup lean, it might be better to build the carport pad now (cheap) and add the equipment later once revenue stabilizes.


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Would you like me to model an alternate financial projection that includes the truck bay (with its added costs + revenue stream), so you can see exactly how it shifts breakeven and profit over 3 years?
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #374  
So, while drinking my morning coffee, I refined our mechanic shop for utility rates, EVs, and bounced another idea that kinda alters the whole thing.
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #375  
So, with that I also used up my daily free advanced, detailed queries. Now; lets say I was serious about this shop; my next queries might be; "find me small business grants and low/no interest loans for this business" and "does Newberry HS have an auto shop training program" "are there any tax breaks for hiring from FL at risk youth technical programs"
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #376  
On danger side, a really worry would be consolidation. AI, its better to have Deepseek, Chat, Gronk, Gemini, ect. I would worry when they start consolidating and the possibility of having only 1 or 2. Right now, if you dont trust one answer, you can run it through several to cross-check
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #377  
So, im just using the mechanic shop as an example; you could run the same queries through 4 AI programs, and compare the results, to make sure the figures make sense. If you where going to move forward, you would absolutely review everything, tweek numbers, ect. You wouldn't just go to the bank with this plan, but what it is, is a fast brain storm of an idea, to see if it even makes sense
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #378  
Imagine ai in cars driving where ever they want to be or back to base because they think you drive too fast :)
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #379  
Imagine ai in cars driving where ever they want to be or back to base because they think you drive too fast :)
I have no doubt that AI is currently being used against us, by the gov. I also know we dont have the ability to stop AI, so, put it to work.
 
   / How could Artificial Intelligence become dangerous? #380  
I also ran a query once, "find me properties for sale at 75% or less of the tax appraised value in x county florida", and "oddly" it didn't work. Meaning, most likely, that is a feature it reserves for high paying or special clients. I dont think it Can't run a simple comparison between listing, vs county property appraiser... I think thats something it doesn't let the peasants do
 

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