The local phone co in my small town (3000) has started installing fiber to the home. At this time they are offering 20 megs for 70 bucks with a 1 meg upload. I know all the local guys for the company and they said 20 megs is the limit right now because of the main frame system right now. But that is supposed to change in 5 or so years and we maybe approaching a 100 meg by then .:thumbsup:
All bets are off with fiber..
When FTTH is installed, the limiting factors are the fiber converter and the aggegation device. With the fiber converter being a means of slowing down the connection at the customer edge.
Today we have fiber lasers that can go to 40 GIG..
Now I dont see that as happening at the home..
BUT 1 Gig lasers are available for as little as $60 for the laser and then a couple hundred for the device they fit in.
At work we have the business equivilent of this.. Metro Ethernet.
Fiber To The Home (FTTH) is basically making a large network.
the limiting factor of the "mainframe" is the size and capabilities of the aggregation device. I have heard some calling the mainframe refereing to the large racks of equipment.. That device(s) could be loosely equated to a main power panel. if you have a 200 amp panel at home, you can over-subscribe it to 300 amps with large breakers quickly, but when it hits that 200 AMP of draw it trips the main breaker.
On the Internet, when the aggregate speed of all the users (breakers 15 amp to 100 AMP) hits the limit of the aggregation device (main panel breaker-200 AMP) then you get 1 of 2 things:
1. Everyone slows down..
2. Everyone looses connection as the box crashes/restarts or acts unusually.
So if the box can handle 1 GIG (1000 Meg) of throughput, and the total users at 10 meg into that box equal a load of 2 Gig, normally you just slow down.Some software bugs have caused some really squirrelly problems. I have personally spent untold overnight t/s events sorting out some of the software bugs. They are lots of fun to work on!!!
Anyway, as the back bone of the Internet gets faster, the home and business users will go faster.... I foresee speed in the GIG range in 4-8 years to be common place for business and 40-500 meg to be commonplace for home users. Today, GIG Internet is doable, but very $$$$. I have at least 15 customers doing 50 meg + of bandwidth. A few are in the 100 Meg range..
I guess we all know where I go to download those DVD's???:thumbsup:
Some of the new video streaming technologies will demand it. Believe it or not, but GOOGLE is one of the larger Internet backbone providers in the US....
and if I did not bore the hound out of you....
you just might be a hightech tractor owner!!!!
J