Future of HVAC and industry supply issues.

   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues.
  • Thread Starter
#171  
You can't buy a 7.5 ton package heat pump in pretty much ANY brand with an economizer for $9,500 let alone with a curb adaptor ;)

What the trend now is large investment firms are buying 20 man plus operations paying the owner a good sum to either retire or generally to "stay on" for a couple of years. They then bring in bean counters who know nothing about the HVAC industry to run the company. A standard residential job that they sold for 10K is now going for 20K. This happened before just before I moved to NC in 2001. It was kind of funny, the companies that sold out in 1999, and 2-4 years later the original owners bought their companies back for pennies on the dollar. If this new surge of investment bought companies will last, time will tell.

One big player in the "buy out game" is Alpine investments, ironically located in San Francisco. Their subsidiary company who "specializes" in HVAC is Apex Partners. I can tell you this for a fact... last couple of years one of the largest HVAC companies in NC and AZ sold out to a investment company in NC which I NEVER thought possible (I knew the company in Arizona pretty well). I just happened to look at their website, and they talk about the original owner, and the two brothers who later bought the company to make it a success, but nothing about new ownership by a company in NC. What I can tell you is that given time, the original owner / owners of the company that sold really isn't happy with the direction his "new company" is going, but since he sold out, he generally doesn't have a say in running the show anymore.

The MO of most of these companies are to keep the same local company name, same phone, same website, and make it seem like you're still buying from your local HVAC company. It's sometimes kind of funny. Know a guy who lost out on a simple changeout. 1/2 days work, small residential tonnage heat pump, he came in at 8K for the job. Problem is, investment company "A" came in a 15K and investment company "B" came in at 12k. The end user thought the guy who came in at 8K was a hack because he was the cheapest price by far.

Thing about HVAC is there are so many moving parts as to exactly what work needs to be done to either replace an existing system or install a new system that you need to ensure you're comparing apples to apples on the quote. Then you also have service. Take a small one man show company who can have the best price, and then couple of years need service, see how long it takes to get that same guy to come out when it's 90 plus degrees and your system is down to get out to you...

Carpentry is not my skill set by far. I had to have a very large IMO 3 story deck replaced (I could probably of had a Geothermal HVAC installed for the same amount LOL). I'm too ashamed to say what I paid for that deck, but I can tell you this, the guy I chose was actually at the bottom tier pricing per quotes, he laid cement for the ground instead of replacing it with wood, and very happy with his work. Thing is, we knew we would have the replace the deck, and we had plenty of time to get 6 quotes for the deck and compare the pricing and what we were getting.

Thing is, when it's 100 degrees outside or below freezing and your HVAC goes down (be it residential or commercial) exactly how much time can you have like I had with getting my deck redone? Generally in the summer or winter, you don't have months to choose the right HVAC contractor, but days.

That said, HVAC is the wrong business to get into. People will ***** and complain about 10-15K to replace a entire HVAC system, but have no qualms spending 15-35K for a bathroom remodel. I know, as noted, wood working isn't my forte, and the last 3 years I had the master bath and guest bathroom remodeled from head to toe (really needed it since the house was built in the late 80's).
Sorry… I left out it’s a gas pack and crane included in price…

I’ve run into the buy out in Olympia WA… the family company that installed my heat pump was sold… nothing about the sale until I asked for the owners wife office manager and told retired then asked for her daughter… no longer works there???

The person said new owners but website still had the family story?

Anyway what I could do with a phone not possible now..

Service must be paid for at the time of service in person.

No over the phone and no invoice and they do not bill property management companies.

So someone with credit card has to be there and I’m 800 miles away.

Oh… every month they send me online specials and finance offers… why when I have to be there?
 
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   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues. #172  
Sorry… I left out it’s a gas pack and crane included in price…
$9,500 with install for a 7.5 ton gas pack with economizer?

Guys in my neck of the woods would use a motorized 2 position damper to help on the price, but no doubt that would never fly in California.
 
   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues.
  • Thread Starter
#173  
$9,500 with install for a 7.5 ton gas pack with economizer?

Guys in my neck of the woods would use a motorized 2 position damper to help on the price, but no doubt that would never fly in California.
5 ton carrier…

Crane was way over size due to reach
 
   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues. #174  
5 ton carrier…

Crane was way over size due to reach
This is where it gets tricky

1 - Curb adaptor needed? (I'm guessing no).
2 - 3 Phase (guessing yes, but plays in price)
4 - What were you using for fresh air, if any? Guessing California it would be required.
5 - Model ? Different footprints (and 3-5 ton falls into that category) can have a huge price difference.

You don't have to answer anything ;)

My only point is that even though a contractor can't find a 7.5 ton unit for a 9.5K price let alone install it for that price, for a large hospital where other work is being done, 9.5K for a 5 ton retrofit pack is more than doable. Pricing jumps substantially from 5 to 7.5 ton believe it or not.

Thing is, I remember another member here that the going rate for shovel work (menial labor) is like $25 an hour? 9.5K could be a going rate in NC for a 5 ton 3 phase pack, but in California, particularly in your neck of the woods, you probably got a steal given what everything costs in California.
 
   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues.
  • Thread Starter
#175  
Yes… I felt I paid pre pandemic pricing…

The company wants our business and our current vendor is high on everything and just sent out 12 percent price increase notice.

460/480v 3-phase gas heat
 
   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues. #176  
460/480v 3-phase gas heat
They want your business, and I'd treat them like gold as long as you don't feel like you're being screwed over over time, and they communicate with you well through good and bad times (sometimes a business will lead with a great price in earning your business for the long term where the profit margin increases over time).

God forbid people actually talk to people...

The irony is we are talking about a "business".

What's just as important is who does your home for ANY type of work because that's business as well...

Be it your religious or not...

“Do to others whatever you would like them to do to you. This is the essence of all that is taught in the law and the prophets."

I don't advertise this type of thinking, but I've ALWAYS lived by this way in personal and business, and for the last 30 years in my work, this philosophy has ALWAYS worked for me. If it didn't, I figured I'd find out why when I'm dead.

Per the Bible, a good man should make money for his work IMO and save for his business AND family, but he should NEVER screw people over (if he intentionally knows he's screwing people over).

By the same token, money made as profit should be tithed to those less fortunate IMO no matter what your religious belief is IMO.

Please note, in 30 years in the HVAC industry, I NEVER talk any type of religion to anyone, unless they become friends of mine and I get to know them personally.

Issue is, bean counters never learned that philosophy in business school.
 
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   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues. #177  
If you're talking geothermal for replacement only, only a few manufacturers offer a variable speed compressor.
Yes, hopefully there will be more competition when/if we eventually need a replacement.

Generally, all residential use unit bearing equipment only have one compressor.
This unit has variable speed fan or blower motor and two compressors - runs most of the time on just one compressor.

If you already have geothermal system in place and your only replacing the equipment, stay geothermal would be my suggestion to you.
I will absolutely!

If you were my brother living across the coast from me, anytime you're spending a substantial amount of money, my professional suggestion to you pertaining to HVAC would be to get at LEAST get 3 quotes and compare the price vs knowledge.
Our current unit was installed by a company which does only geothermal installations & service and so far I prefer it that way.
I had competing bids from others at the time and one of them was a scary low bid!

Reminds me what I heard long time ago:
"When dealing with a low bidder, you need to add $$ due to the risk you are taking"

Cheers
 
   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues. #178  
This unit has variable speed fan or blower motor and two compressors - runs most of the time on just one compressor.
I'd be sincerely curious as to the model and serial number of a older Geothermal unit that has two separate compressors in the unit...

When dealing with 2 compressors in one outdoor unit, it can be either single piped or twined piped (generally used more for commercial split systems).

For indoor blowers, you can have a

1 - PSE blower motor in the blower unit
2 - Variable speed constant torque blower motor for the blower unit
3 - Variable speed constant airflow blower motor for the blower unit
 
   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues. #179  
Yes, hopefully there will be more competition when/if we eventually need a replacement.
It won't happen IMO.

Geo is the best way to go IMO for ROI on a HVAC system, the reality is what "moves the needle" (as the bean counters call it) isn't geothermal.
 
   / Future of HVAC and industry supply issues. #180  
I'd be sincerely curious as to the model and serial number of a older Geothermal unit that has two separate compressors in the unit...

When dealing with 2 compressors in one outdoor unit, it can be either single piped or twined piped (generally used more for commercial split systems).

For indoor blowers, you can have a

1 - PSE blower motor in the blower unit
2 - Variable speed constant torque blower motor for the blower unit
3 - Variable speed constant airflow blower motor for the blower unit

Please see the enclosed 2003 brochure and 2001 Specifications - the unit is indoors in a utility room.

This has a variable speed, "constant airflow" blower motor.
It is noticeable how the motor rpm picks up if the air flow is restricted by partially clogged air filter for example.
 

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