Corona Virus #4

[rswyan]

Let’s try this:

Don't be Italy / Yuri Vishnevsky / Observable

Nope ... that ain’t it either.

 

[California]

Here's an article linked from Digg that has individual curves (like above) for several places including state of Washington, California, NYC. And in particular Massachusetts where they say testing is late and inadequate so the curve will be steeper.

Don't be Italy

Link doesnt work.

It works, just slow. I saw a delay of several seconds the first time, and again the first time I reviewed the draft of my post. Quick thereafter.

Its also accessible via the link on Digg.com. (Scroll down to 'Charting The Effects Of Waiting Too Long').That link has additional junk saying the reader arrived via Digg.

 

[California]

Let’s try this:

Don't be Italy / Yuri Vishnevsky / Observable

Nope ... that ain’t it either.

Strange. Your version went right to it.

 

[rswyan]

Thanks ...

 

[dragoneggs]

Likely too late at this point ... although the steps our Governor has taken are promising.

Can only hope more get onboard.

Basically he's acting to shutdown vectors for the spread within the local "community" (aka Ohio) by dramatically limiting contacts within larger groups.

Given the high transmissibility, it's a good/smart move ... and within his authority (at least so far)



I have a somewhat different assessment.

Nope ... at this point, the phobia needs to be at far more basic level: ... your fellow individual human being ... regardless of where they hail from.

In this particular instance, it isn't a bad thing.

I agree... at this point. And at the risk of starting CV #5...

Your words... "Basically he's acting to shutdown vectors for the spread within the local "community" (aka Ohio) by dramatically limiting contacts within larger groups.

Given the high transmissibility, it's a good/smart move ... and within his authority (at least so far)"

Where do you draw the line? Seems the same actions were being put forward at macro level a few weeks ago. Glad someone is not leading from behind.

Personally, I think we (media 24/7) are overreacting in the grand scheme of things. Lots of people will be/are being hurt by this no doubt, but I think it seems we are easily distracted by the shiny object... good or bad. Hard to blame the media though because in our world now, it needs to 'sell'.

I hope I am wrong that this is as serious as being touted. We don't know where this is leading... but that is life.

 

[rswyan]

I agree... at this point. And at the risk of starting CV #5...

Your words... "Basically he's acting to shutdown vectors for the spread within the local "community" (aka Ohio) by dramatically limiting contacts within larger groups.

Given the high transmissibility, it's a good/smart move ... and within his authority (at least so far)"

Where do you draw the line?

I'll answer in a manner that will hopefully avoid the need for a #5 ...

With this disease ... given the relative unfamiliarity, the unknowns, and the high rate of transmissibility ... plus the elevated death rate in certain populations ?

I'd be drawing it pretty sharply ... on the side of caution.

That would be the conservative approach wouldn't it ?

Seems the same actions were being put forward at macro level a few weeks ago. Glad someone is not leading from behind.

Surely you are kidding.

All I'll say is:

I think you need to take a look at an article from the Chicago Tribune - which I think was originally carried in the NYT - I posted elsewhere (FP, maybe in the "Politics of the Corona Virus" thread)

But I am glad the governors and state/local officials - including a significant number of Republicans - are stepping up.

Personally, I think we (media 24/7) are overreacting in the grand scheme of things.

Then quit paying attention to "THE MEDIA" ... if that's your Big Boogey Man ... but start paying ATTENTION to what the HEALTHCARE EXPERTS are saying.

Acquaint yourself with what Dr. Fauci had to say this past Sunday:

Focus on his answers ... not the questioner's questions ... if those are what triggers you.

Lots of people will be/are being hurt by this no doubt, but I think it seems we are easily distracted by the shiny object... good or bad.

This ain't no shiny object ...

Hard to blame the media though because in our world now, it needs to 'sell'.

This is a public health emergency.

I'm sorry if you find that inconvenient - either politically or otherwise.

I hope I am wrong that this is as serious as being touted. We don't know where this is leading... but that is life.

At least until it's death ...

 

[rswyan]

Strange. Your version went right to it.

Really ?

Didn't for me ... go figure ... :confused2:

 

[aczlan]

Duplicating Italy is inevitable now. Social distancing can only slow down the contagion curve, not cancel it.

Repeating the chart I posted a few pages back:

Given that we have 5 times the population, if we can keep the number of those who are infected and in a need of critical care to the same as Italy, we will be doing very well.

Aaron Z

 

[rswyan]

That's a big "if" ...

White House Takes New Line After Dire Report on Death Toll - The New York Times

 

[daugen]

I was hoping to send in a check to pay off my 4707, and I've watched that money fly out the window in the stock market.
I sure remember 2008, somehow this seems more worrisome. Market and investor confidence needs to see some end in sight.
Most of us expected a correction/downturn; common question now is how low can we go.
I expect to see more factories shutting down for lack of parts.

Another robocall from City of Washington stating that electric shutoffs due to non payment were currently suspended.
Stay safe and healthy everyone.