It's actually much less to do with discharge rate of the pack. There's a ton of thermal management to keep the LiIon banks in a happy state(since when they're out of spec it speeds degradation, see why your smartphone capacity drops). Plus under active discharge they tend to generate heat offsetting the cold.
There's basically 3 impacts to winter driving, in order of scale:
1. Dense air. V^2 gets brutal, and even more so when you're talking highway(60+ speeds).
2. Resistive heating is incredibly inefficient, you can mitigate this by warming while charging but def a hit.
3. Colder tires have less pressure and stiffer leading to higher rolling resistance.
I used to do a lot of driving year-round including once a week 300mi roundtrip in a day. When temps started dropping below 30F I'd see a ~30% impact in range. Definitely noticed it but wasn't an issue along my route as there was plenty of HVDC charging. Usually added ~10 minutes to the trip for a quick top-off about 50mi from home or so(packs charge much faster at low capacity).