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   / Global Warming News #191  
The article that Eddie referenced starts off by talking about the north pole being free of ice by 2013.

Here you can see the USS Skate on the surface at the North Pole in 1959. http://www.navsource.org/archives/08/0857806.jpg Not a lot of ice, was there?

Here is a little more ice, same submarine, but note how thin the ice was:

http://www.john-daly.com/polar/skate.jpg

That was 1959.

Recently read a book, "The Little Ice Age". Warmer is better than colder. With colder you get widespread crop failures and mass starvation.

The point is, that the climate is changing all the time. We had a medieval warming period, a little ice age, then as always happens after an ice age, the climate got warmer again, with ups and downs all along the way.
 
   / Global Warming News #192  
Just saw this link on Drudge. I don't recognize David Rose or the British paper, the Mail Online, but it sounds like they are naming sources and backing up thier positions.

DAVID ROSE: The mini ice age starts here | Mail Online

Eddie

Hi Eddie:

I actually read the link you supplied, and there is some valid science there towards the end (I'll point it out later)...the problem is that the article David Rose wrote is riddled with errors. This should be a major red flag for anyone looking for unbiased data.

The problems I saw?

1. The claim that Arctic sea ice is INCREASING.

"According to the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado, Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007 and even the most committed global warming activists do not dispute this."

This is extremely misleading.

To see the raw, unedited data, and decide for yourself, I suggest anyone interested educate themselves at the National Snow and Ice Data Centre, (yes, the same source quoted in the article) and look for yourself:

Important point: be sure and distinguish between ice AREA, and ice VOLUME.

National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)

For other good discussions on how the deniers spin this topic, as well as time lapse remote sensing images, check this out:

YouTube - 2009 Sea Ice Update

2. The continuation of the myth that climate scientists were screaming about the next ice age in the 1970's.

"He recalled that towards the end of the last cold mode, the world media were preoccupied by fears of freezing.

For example, in 1974, a Time magazine cover story predicted another Ice Age? saying: 'Man may be somewhat responsible as a result of farming and fuel burning [which is] blocking more and more sunlight from reaching and heating the Earth."

This is one of the most perpetuated myths out there:

YouTube - Climate Deniers Love the 70s! -- The Remix

3. The only part of the article that doesn't rehash falsehoods and is actually interesting quotes a Prof. Anastasios Tsonis, head of the University of Wisconsin Atmospheric Sciences Group.

Dr. Tsonis has an interesting theory to explain some of the short term cooling observed that has to do with ocean currents and multi-decadal oscillations or MDO's.

The problem is that the good Professor is inundated by nut jobs from both the pro and con climate change factions. He says in your article:

"Prof Tsonis said that when he published his work in the highly respected journal Geophysical Research Letters, he was deluged with hate emails.

He added: people were accusing me of wanting to destroy the climate, yet all I am interested in is the truth.

He said he also received hate mail from climate change sceptics, accusing him of not going far enough to attack the theory of man-made warming."

This exactly illustrates how politicized this branch of science has become.

The article then goes on to take Prof. Tsonis's theory and twist it to somehow make him look like he is saying that there is no man-influenced warming.

I am familiar with Prof. Tsonis, and I know that in the past he has said the exact opposite. From a former interview:

"I recently invited Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, to participate in an email interview regarding a research paper written by Tsonis and Professor Kyle Swanson titled "Has the climate recently shifted?". The peer-reviewed paper is said to conclude that global warming due to anthropogenic causes is on hold.

Here is the interview in its entirety:

Carbon Purging (CP): What is your background, and what typical activities do you do in your background?

Anastasios Tsonis (AT): I am a professor of Atmospheric sciences at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee. I teach and do research related to climate dynamics and variability.

CP: What prompted the researching of this paper?

AT: Our interest in understanding the natural variability of climate.

CP: Was this paper peer-reviewed?

AT: Yes.

CP: If so, who were the reviewers, and did they come to the same conclusions as you did for your research paper?

AT: The reviewers were anonymous. Their comments were supportive of our conclusions.

CP: Would a break in the mean global temperature trend suggest that anthropogenic sources are or are not the main cause of average warming global temperatures from 1880 onward?

AT: If the overall warming is due to anthropogenic sources (and not some unknown very low-frequency feature of our climate system), then a break will indicate that at this point the natural variability signal is stronger than the anthropogenic signal.

CP: Do you agree that average global temperatures have continued to increase since 2001?

AT: No. In fact it appears that the (average) global temperature has at least leveled off if not decreasing.

CP: Do the conclusions of this paper support the existence of anthropogenic global warming?

AT: The research was not designed to address this issue, however the conclusions do not rule out that natural variability may "ride" on the top of some anthropogenic or other low-frequency signal. In fact we state this in our conclusions.

CP: Would you be more inclined to say that average global temperatures are cooling, that average global temperatures are trending no change, or that average global temperatures are warming?

AT: Right now we would say that the rapid warming in the 80s and 90s has stopped and we are entering a cooler regime.

CP: In layman's terms, how did you form your conclusions?

AT: The conclusions are the results of a rigorous mathematical analysis of observed and modeled data.

CP: In layman's terms, what modeling or testing did you do to research this paper?

AT: This is too complicated to explain here.

CP: In your expert opinion, would you agree that the release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere via anthropogenic sources contributes to the increase in average global temperature?

AT: Yes.

CP: Would you allow part of, or all of, this email interview to be excerpted at my blog?

AT: We would prefer the whole thing as we wrote it.

CP: Would you consider a follow-up interview should I have additional questions?

AT: Sure."
 
   / Global Warming News #193  
I support effort's in his country to expand both the technological infrastructure as well as the production infrastructure for Bio, Green and Alternative energy production.

It makes sense by any measure...

Blowing off about Climate Change is a waste of good Oxygen!

AKfish
 
   / Global Warming News #195  
Good morning all,

answer to FallbrookFarmer-
Excessive profit was clearly my opinion - as stated earlier I feel when a company receives tax money that its profits should be modest - especially when the profit comes from fuel costs for those tax payers. (is this a liberal or conservative view?) Since I'm on the topic, probably as important is the pay within the company (same question for non profits who are tax exempt) - example-is pay excessive (worker and management) - how much are lobbyists paid? What are the fringe benefits?
I just want to pose the question - I'm sure we won't all agree and I'm not after anyone's answer. (I can't put a solid number on it) If everyone in a company we look at is making $16 million we probably could agree that it appears excessive.
I am confident that big oil lobbyists historically have been more interested in their profits than in policies that would make us energy independent. Also all of these big oil companies do much of their business offshore and must work with many countries who aren't very friendly towards the US.

A comment for thought - Companies with profits in mind make the decision to move their manufacturing to China. (easy to criticize Government for their role - employ rights here, EPA standards, import duties (which ultimately effect our exports)


Concerning Alternative energy sources - after my 26 years with small wind and solar - I see real advantages of solar - biggest one is no moving parts - almost zero maintenance - down side is higher cost per watt to build. A combination of solar and wind over a wide area can help keep a more constant output. (Germany has significant small solar electric production and is much farther north than most of the US)

I agree with "AKfish" post. We will be a much stronger country if we become energy independent. Countries who have made this a priority are making progress. I believe this would create more jobs.


Loren
 
   / Global Warming News #196  
Yeah...all this global warming stuff ...it's a conspiracy .. :D:D:D
 
   / Global Warming News #197  
A comment for thought - Companies with profits in mind make the decision to move their manufacturing to China. (easy to criticize Government for their role - employ rights here, EPA standards, import duties (which ultimately effect our exports)

Loren49,

Companies who do not make a profit go out of business. "Profit" is not an evil word, it is what has brought the U.S. the prosperity it has had.

I agree with you about excess profits, but as has been shown here, the oil companies are in the middle of corporate range of profitability. Per dollar spent, their profits are not excessive. I agree with you that executive compensation is excessive....across all corporations. At least the oil company managers are making a profit for their owners, unlike a lot of companies that are lavishly rewarding their execs as they run the company into the ground.

The U.S. oil companies would love for U.S. oil independence. The U.S. and Canada has more oil reserves available than Saudi Arabia ever had. But we are not allowed to extract it.

You keep harping on subsidizing the oil companies and you feel that our military efforts is a subsidization. Without getting into the politics of where the U.S. uses it's military, one has to ask what is the goal of our foreign intervention: to keep our economy running, or to support the oil companies? As for Iraq, it was producing more oil before we invaded. What does Afganistan have to do with oil?

I do not see our military operations as a government subsidy of oil companies. If that were the case, we would invade Venezuela for their breech of contract with the major oil companies.

So I just do not buy your claim that the government is subsidizing the oil companies.

Ken
 
   / Global Warming News #198  
I don't think anybody is denying that the arctic sea ice is lower then it has been in the past. What I fail to comprehend is how this becomes an issue when we also know that there was allot less sea ice in the arctic 100 years ago. I realize that 1979 is a base, or starting year because that's when they started measuring the ice, but history tells us that there was less ice there then at any time since 1979.

This is part of the problem. Basing science on events that happen in an eye blink, but ignoring history and natural cycles. From what I can tell, the 90's were a warming cycle that ended around 1998. Then we leveled off and are now starting towards a cooling cycle. The debate isn't if CO2 is causing this, the debate should be if we're really headed towards a downward temperature cycle and how long will it last? Ice levels in ther arctic were down, but now they are rebuilding. Apparantly they are not up to the levels from 1979, but they are nowhere near the levels of the 1930's either. What caused the ice to melt in the arctic back then? and why isn't the sun responsible for it melting back in the 90's?

I think that if we take historical weather patterns into account, naturaly cycles of the sun and look at what is happening to our weather over the past couple of decades, you'll see that it's all part of a natural pattern thta has been repeated over and over again.

Looking at this graph, it's pretty obvious that there is an up and down to this. Blaming CO2 for the most recent upward swing, but ignoring it in the past is being dishonest. In the case of the hocky stick, it's criminal that they lied about the data to eliminate the midevil warming period. History proves to us that it was allot warmer during that period then it is now. When all the glaciers melt, when we arctic sea ice is no more, all we have is a repear of the weather pattern of the midevil warming period. If it's happened before, it's going to happen again. Saying it was natural the first time, or even denying that it happened, and then saying that this time, when it's not even close to being as warm as it has in the past, and saying it's caused by CO2 is just downright silly. Especialy when you have to fabricate the science to support your claim.

Eddie
 

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   / Global Warming News #199  
Looking at this graph, it's pretty obvious that there is an up and down to this. Blaming CO2 for the most recent upward swing, but ignoring it in the past is being dishonest. In the case of the hocky stick, it's criminal that they lied about the data to eliminate the midevil warming period.

Eddie,

IMO, you are being too kind. IMO, a more proper term would be "treasonous".

I note that still no one has responded to my challenge to show how moving industrial production and pollution to more polluting China will help anything. Of course, I'm not surprised.

Ken
 
   / Global Warming News #200  
Ken thanks for the response,
I did not post that the subsidies included part of our military expense. Someone else stated that. My reason for believing that there is tax payer support was from the numerous results from my google search including the piece I posted. (Its similar to public money being spent on airports which benefits airline companies)

Concerning the graph posted by Eddie, there is well documented evidence from a much more in depth global study which shows that your posted graph was a regional observation. No reason to argue this as we all have what we feel are valid reasons for our own conclusion.

I enjoy a good debate when it stays civil,
Loren
 
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