A car accident or an unexpected illness can certainly result in huge medical bills at any time, but I think the statistical norm is that the bulk of healthcare costs come late in life for most people.
I tend to think overall the economic effect is that you'll see some cost shifting from the unhealthy onto the healthy. The heaviest users of healthcare will pass on a portion of their costs to the less heavy users. That's what I think---but if I could do the statistical computations to prove it all, I'd be making a bunch of money selling the numbers to the insurance companies.
This is exactly what the health bill does. There is a limit on how much more a senior can pay for premiums over a young person. I think it is three times as much. But the elderly are the major consumer of health care. The elderly are also the richest part of the population. And the receive the most government benefits.
The young in this country will be paying more to support the elderly. I guess having kids is so the children can pay for their parents and grandparents in retirement.
People say they spend too much on health care. But what they do not say is they want cheaper health care. There is a difference. In the UK the deaths for Prostate and Breast cancer is 30-40% higher than in the US because they do not use the latest drugs and treatment. Is this really what people want?
Do people really want CHEAPER health care?
We just had the head of Canada come to the US for health treatment. *** HE *** said he came to the US because he could get the treatment faster and with better quality than in Canada. :confused2: This is not the first time a leader of Canada came to the US for treatment.
In MA preconditions cannot stop someone from being covered. Insurance companies are seeing people get a policy. Keep it for a few months, rack up big bills, and then drop coverage. One company said that 40% of its new enrollees kept there coverage for less than five months and incurred costs of 600% more than expected.
Who will pay the higher costs of the people who jumped? The people who hold the insurance.
The head of the IRS and Congress critters who voted for the health care bill have said the IRS will NOT go after people who do not maintain coverage.
They are either fools or liars. Ok, they could be both.
If the IRS does NOT go after people for not maintaining coverage then the premiums WILL go up faster. If they do go after people this mean the IRS will have to monitor your health care policy coverage just like DMV does for car insurance. BUT DMV can pull your registration in NC. What will the IRS do?
The statements I have read said that the IRS will "bill" you based on your tax refund. But if you are half of the population that does not pay Federal Income tax this will be interesting. Will the IRS be putting tax liens on people for not having health care coverage?
The answer is that the IRS will have to go after non payers or policy rates will increase faster than claimed.
Later,
Dan