Part of the reason TBN has been reduced is the prevalence of ULSD fuel. Not nearly as much TBN needed for typical oil change intervals compared to pre-ULSD fuel. Well, the frying pan idea is interesting, and I suppose it might have some bearing, but most HD engines have oil coolers that keep oil no hotter than prevailing cooling system. You keep mentioning your Cummins going to 1 mil. That is normal for most Cummins engines, as well as Detroits and Cats, and not have a major component failure or oil related problem. Most major diesel engine builders are claiming
B20 rates of over 1 million miles.
B20 refers that less than 20% will need an overhaul before 1 million miles. I know you're giddy over taking a motor that long without a major repair, but it has been the norm for many HD diesel owners for years now. And the majority of them are on conventional oils. It is the total motor oil chemistry that makes a oil good, better, or best. Only motors that have been treated poorly seem to fair poorly in the longevity department.
But lets go with your Amsoil you use.....
What is the Zinc level in the Amsoil you are using? How about the Phosphorus? And the Calcium?, and the Magnesium? Throw in the Antimony or Molybdenum level? I would suppose you are aware of what these components functions are and how they are important to any oil, be it syntethic or conventional and how the levels of them, and in what balance, determine the quality of the product. I contend, as I have, that the additive package that is a part of ANY motor oil, synthetic or conventional, has as much or more to do with it being average or superior. Base oil can bring something to the party also, but with the advances in base oil refining over the last 10-15 years, that part of the equation is overlapping. I know what is in my motor oil additives, as I have run multiple dozens of samples on the oils I use. Anyone else can find this info out by sending in a virgin oil sample to a used oil testing lab and they will tell you what the levels of the additive components are. All for about $20. And virtually every oil blender posts the TBN level of their various oils on their website. Maybe you didn't get it when you called Mobil, but I looked and their Delvac 1540 Super TBN 10.5, Elite syn blend 15w40 10.7 TBN, and their Delvac 1 5w40 synthetic, an even 10 TBN. About average across the board for all major brands.
For the Schaeffer 711 10w30 HDEO syn blend I primarily use in most of my stuff...
Zinc 1573
Phosphorus 1276
Calcium 1494
Magnesium 985
Molybdenum 68
I would further contend, that if you filled up your motor with a best synthetic that did not have a solid add pack to go with it, you would destroy a good motor quicker than with a conventional that has a stout additive package. There is considerably more to what an oil has to do than deal with heat or cold. And the Pennzoil conventional I referenced early has a NOACK (burn off rate) of 4.1. Let's take a look at the boutique Amsoil stuff...... Their Premium 5w40 full synthetic... 9.1. Higher that even the lowly syn blend I use. That is barely inside the maximum standard for dexos1 specs of 12 NOACK. That stuff will "cook off" at a rate twice the Pennzoil Conventional I linked to. But to be fair, lets only look at the gasoline oils, which the Pennzoil is targeted at. And keep it in the same 10w30 grade with both. The Pennzoil 10w30 conventional, like I stated, 4.1 NOACK. The Amsoil Signature 10w30, 5.3, and that is the lowest of their entire Signature series oil line. The Pennzoil 10w30 conventional beats the ENTIRE Amsoil lineup for NOACK (burn off) rating. So I still contend that the base oil is not nearly as important in today's oils as the additive package. Would have been a major difference 20 years ago, but those days have gone bye-bye.
Amsoil will post TBN and NOACK ratings but they do not post additive levels of their oils. Here is a data sheet direct from Amsoil website... please inform us of where the additive levels are listed.... I can't seem to find any mention of Zinc, Calcium, Phosphorus, Magnesium, Antimony, or Molybdenum anywhere. And those are the PRIMARY elements of a typical additive package of any oil. lots of marketing claims in this data sheet, but no mention of additive package outside of TBN, and there is a lot more to the story than TBN alone.
http://www.amsoil.com/lit/databulletins/g2880.pdf
I am NOT putting down Amsoil. They have some fine products. I even use a few of their products. I actually use 5 different brands depending on what I am using them for. But in many ways, Amsoil is not all that stellar above the other major brands. I have often wondered why they never compare their oils to Schaeffer (my primary brand), who has been in the lube business longer than anyone, since 1839, and developed the lubes for the Apache Attack Helicopter and M1 Abrams Tank, and also make some specialty products for Shell Oil. Along with being listed as in the top 500 most technologically advanced companies in America. I would like to see Amsoil stack their oil up against Schaeffer at least once.