www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/B...es ahead/Battery technology charges ahead.pdf
While this serious article it about 200 years old in Lithium Ion Battery technology years it does indicate one reason why most of us over 40 years of age may never buy an electric tractor.
The three most import things for electric tractor usage to gain traction are batteries, batteries and batteries.
While the article above is a serious article from a serious source the writers had not yet learned about the efforts of Elon Musk and his teams. The article date and the release of the Tesla Model S are the same. "Elon Time" was not yet a trade term outside of Tesla and SpaceX back in 2012.
This article was written for the big 3 and it seems like they bought it hook line and sinker as being the EV battery gospel. I expect most of us would have done the same in that era.
"researchers are developing cathode貌lectrolyte pairs that could increase cell voltage to 4.2 volts, from 3.6 volts by 2025" yet at the date of the article both Nissan and Tesla were shipping battery packs in cars with 4.2 volts per cell.
" the price of a complete automotive lithium ion battery pack could fall from $500 to $600 per kilowatt hour (kWh) today to about $200 per kWh by 2020 and to about $160 per kWh by 2025"
This research info may be the reason the big three decided to hold off on major EV development especially two were just climbing out of bankruptcy. Last month at Tesla Battery Day Elon Musk introduced their new in-house developed and manufactured 4680 lithium ion batteries that is to drive per kWh cost down to $50 while increasing range by 50%. The manufacturing technology is in its 3rd generation today and will be at the 6th or 7th generation when it rolls out in TX and Germany factories in 2-3 years.
Electric tractors will be cheaper than diesel tractors in the future. Electric tractors do not make much sense for us still buying our diesel in 5 gallon containers.
Most missed the last paragraph it seems.
"These, of course, are only early indicators
of possible market developments. But
given the path to substantially lower battery prices, which are now coming into
view,
executives should be considering
bold actions to capitalize on one of
the biggest disruptions facing the transportation, power, and petroleum sectors over the next decade or more."