How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete?

   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #341  
Thanks for posting that DieselBound. Good points and I am digesting the links...
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #342  
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #344  
Let me know if this is the wrong place to put this, but IMHO, the advantages of electric powered tractors in the smaller sizes (under, say, 100hp) will be so massive that even though cars are ahead in the development, new small electric tractors will begin taking over the market somewhere around 2025, and by 2030, they will have made diesels in the under 60 hp class obsolete, for the following reasons:
1. Diesel engines and the various transmissions are extremely expensive to design and produce compared to electric drive trains.
2. The limitation on continuous use of electric tractors - probably 4 hours or so at a clip before requiring recharge, on the lower priced machines won't be a problem to most small tractor owners. For those for whom it is a problem, more batteries can be put in the tractor.
3. No more lugging and pouring cans of diesel is not a nothing-burger.
4. The problem of battery weight in cars is an advantage in most tractors, as it can increase both traction and stability if properly situated.
5. Lower maintenance costs and full control of speed without many gallons of hydro oil for locomotion.
6. In tractors with loaders, portable supplemental battery packs could potentially charged while the tractor is working, and added to the loader when using PTO implements, or carried on the 3pt. when doing loader work.
7. CUTs are not really screamingly noisy but the electric tractors' quiet will be appreciated.
8. Prices will be competitive with diesels by 2025 and will be significantly less expensive than diesels by 2030.
9. An electric tractor charged from home solar or wind will appeal to the "independent" types, like most of us here.
10. If made properly, repairs to an Electric Tractor should be much easier and require much less technical knowledge than compact diesels.

Disclaimer: I am invested in electric vehicles, electric tractors and solar panel makers.
Once all the tree huggers figure out how dirty it is to mine and dispose of lithium we will be in a quandary. Then add in the civil rights to mining it and all sorts of things will happen. We are number 8 on the world list for lithium reserves.

Plus, the electric grid in the US is not equipped to have a gazillion people plug in for a charge, you will see rolling brown-outs.
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #345  
I say EV takes too much resources to juice things up.

I like things powered by HOT AIR. :)

1623086038209.png


MDI and Tata have at least five different air-powered vehicles in the pipeline. Some of them run on only compressed air. This requires the vehicle to have a large carbon-fibre air tank that can store compressed air and gives it an operational range of 200 km. The engine is a light-weight aluminium two-cylinder or four-cylinder engine that uses air to drive the pistons instead of petrol.

Tata Nano air car launch possible in India, Tata Motors compressed air cars

With so many politicians blowing enough HOT AIR, all of our energy needs would be SOLVED.

1623086168671.png


The Tata Nano Car has already seen some production.
Tata Nano review | Autocar

Being the cheapest doesn't necessarily make it the worst and for £1700 the Tata Nano is unbelievable value. It's a one-box saloon, as short and narrow as an original Mini, but more than a foot taller, with its steel monocoque body mated to a tough spaceframe.
1623086605129.png

1623086522728.png


Bigger than a Mini-Cooper and uses NO petrol. Less parts than a 2-cly diesel even.


Even the AMISH use compressed air systems for power. It takes a 4-horse team to pull the weights via cables up a few stories. Then the chains are clipped onto the weights to apply pressure into the pneumatic system. 2X a day is all that is needed for the horses to hook up, lift the weights and then back to pasture. An entire wood cabinet facility is then cutting for the day.
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #346  
Hydrogen fuel cells make more sense than Batteries.

Toyota has invested a lot more into hydrogen tech than trying to invent a energy denser battery.
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #348  
Even the AMISH use compressed air systems for power. It takes a 4-horse team to pull the weights via cables up a few stories. Then the chains are clipped onto the weights to apply pressure into the pneumatic system. 2X a day is all that is needed for the horses to hook up, lift the weights and then back to pasture. An entire wood cabinet facility is then cutting for the day.
But then you have to haul those horses around so you can fill up on your cross country road trip and that has to really cut your range.
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #349  
Ford announced they have 70,000 orders for the new electric F-150. That compares to about 800,000 gas F-150’s sold in a year.

MoKelly
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #351  
Ford announced they have 70,000 orders for the new electric F-150. That compares to about 800,000 gas F-150’s sold in a year.

MoKelly
Preorders are one thing. Once it's on the dealers lot and ready for anyone to walk in and buy that's when you'll find out how well it's selling. I know Ford is saying that the MachE is selling great but a local dealer has had 5 sitting on his lot for over a month now (probably longer). I have yet to see one on the road but I see about one or two Teslas a month so EVs aren't that popular around here.
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #352  
Take a couple of females with ya you'll have plenty of hot air


willy
 
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   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #353  
Take a couple of females with ya you'll will have plenty of hot air


willy
they could make a perpetual motion machine a reality
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #354  
I'm not so sure the rest of the world is ready for this new electric revolution that will bring much more efficiency while saving the planet.
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #355  
But then you have to haul those horses around so you can fill up on your cross country road trip and that has to really cut your range.
:LOL:

Actually, the horses were for the Amish cabinet saw mill outside Scottville, KY.

Filling air tanks is rather EZ.

 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #356  
Hydrogen fuel cells make more sense than Batteries.

Toyota has invested a lot more into hydrogen tech than trying to invent a energy denser battery.

GM has had a team working on those fuel cells since 1996 at a facility in Honeyeye Fall, NY. It's gotten nowhere but eats up all kinds of government grants.
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #357  
Just look at all the household items that are made
from oil! Also all the products in the grocery store
that use plastic wrap, plastic containers, plastic bottles
etc.
When there were gas wars some guys changed their
pickups to run on steam plenty of wood in the northwest
etc.

willy
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #358  
One word to add: Petro-Dollar (what this all means)

Pretty sure that the POWERs in the US (and the western world that is hitched tightly to the USD) realize that pushing away from fossil fuels will mean the end of the USD as world's reserve currency. When the USD crashes it'll pretty much take out the US economy; and there goes any thoughts of large-scale production: lithum and other key elements of our current and mid-term EV requirements will become vastly more expensive (when priced in USD). Will be tough enough for folks looking to exchange their gas-guzzling SUVs for EVs, let alone spending on electric CUT tractors. Folks in the horse and hay business, unless they're a big corporation (and can afford attorneys to work tax loopholes), are going to get totally leveled. There's a chance that global concessions are made (mostly it'll be the US that concedes), and while that would likely reduce the chance of large-scale wars (and End Times), it'll mean a vastly reduced standard of living for the average US citizen.

Read the link provided above. Basically it comes down to it being inevitable, but timing can be greatly influenced by China's and Russia's actions. And the irony couldn't be greater. "Free trade" means that China and Russia could opt (and are working in that direction) to trade oil outside of the USD, actually "freely" trading between each other without US-as-middle-man/proxy. As China's oil consumption rises (despite EV production there's still lag time here at play) more of the world's oil trades will shift away from USD; this will start to erode USD's value which will place increasing pressures on the Middle East oil producers to trade via USD. To-date the US has propped up the Saudi Royal Family's rule with the agreement that they trade oil in USD in exchange for US military protection: keep in mind that this is one of, if not the most, detestible, anti-democratic "govt" (in only but the most lax interpretation of the word "government" can the Saudis claim to have one), AND, the majority of 9/11 hijackers came from Saudi Arabia. We're literally dancing with the devil. Collapse the USD and US economy OR save the planet? A US shift toward EV means less oil trade happening, which only puts increased downward pressure on the Saudis (and others). NOTE: US, which helped create the pool of Sunni extremists (who were involved in 9/11) in order to evict the Russians from Afghanistan are holding a sword over the necks of the Saudi Royal family (it's been this way from the very formation of the House of Saud); it's only a matter of time before they overrun the royal family and the Petro-Dollar collapses: ***** bin Laden (once working for the CIA [refer to eviction of Russians from Afghanistan]) spoke against the US base in Mecca; there is ZERO reason to believe that the US would continue to be "welcomed" there.

I don't take any sides. I'm just presenting realities/facts. I realize that our environment is in peril (growth in general is the greatest issue, fossil fuel burning will, owing to its finite-ness and the looming economic decline, wane). I also realize that there are no realistic "solutions," not as long as we're asking the WRONG questions: our economic system doesn't allow us to properly talk about sustainability, as any such equation cannot contain the word "growth" (any discussion that props up "growth" without a defined end/limit is NOT addressing sustainability). We're clearly not being honest with ourselves. I have no problem if people don't care and they state so; it's when there's a pretense of caring ("I am saving the planet by driving my Prius/EV!") that I see this dishonesty (supported by lots of marketing buzz words).

My "final" take is that humans have always tended toward increased energy density use and that the move toward all-electric, while noble and all, represents a step down- it won't come off as pleasant: those pushing nuclear power: how long would nuclear be acceptable before nutjobs hijack weapons and take care of all our "problems?"

I'll be around here for a while (unless this posting gets me banned [in case, I ask the preemptive: why?]), so there ought to be time to judge how things turned out: I can only hope that we'll still be around.

Sigh, always use caution when wishing for things...
 
   / How long before Compact Diesels are obsolete? #359  
Well, uh, the Truth is (OK well MAYBE "the truth is")
we humans have used our great little minds to do what we want ,with no regard for the "larger picture", and having "opened Pandora's Box", we have been able to avoid the ensuing consequences:
or at least put them off until the looming so-called "End Times",
whose effect is just beginning, and whose change will affect every person, along with everything else.

Thus we drift-(to paraphrase Einstein) towards unmitigated disaster.
(“...................... everything has changed save our modes of thinking and we thus drift toward unparalleled catastrophe.”)

I shall now step off the soap-box.

"This, too, shall pass.
 

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