Solar Interest and Selling Power Back

   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #41  
Moss, I respect you and I get what you are saying but that's fuzzy math. If you approach it that way it would be a 50 year payoff and no one would own one. With that approach you would be just as well off putting $20K in an interest bearing account and using it to pay your power bill until it runs out. Only difference is at the end of that time you will be back to paying a $200 to $300 power bill with no production. Look, I haven't decided to do this yet and my wife isn't crazy about the idea but I must say it is enticing to think of no power bill when I retire.
What’s fuzzy about it?

It’s based on a $150 average electric bill. You only get $50 per month to put towards paying off the system once you subtract the $100 minimum monthly charges from the electric company.

Let’s plug in a $250 average electric bill. Now you get $150 per month towards paying off the system ASSUMING that the system is the same size and cost as the previous example.

That’s what I’m trying to point out as to why you really have to run the numbers carefully To figure the actual amount you can put towards paying off the system each month, and hoping they don’t do away with net metering during that time period before it’s paid off.

- Figure the cost of the system sized to meet your current needs.
- Look at your average monthly electric bill for the past few years.
- Assume it’s going to go up a bit over the next few years (it always does).
- Take that figured monthly average bill
- Subtract the minimum fee that you’re going to have to pay to the electric company per month.
- The amount left over is the maximum you’re ever going to save per month (and assuming your solar will completely offset that fee each month) that you can put towards the cost of the system.

That’s best case most realistic scenario I can come up with.

And yes, you’re correct that putting money in an interest bearing investment would work. In fact, that’s what my wife and I have done over the past 42 years. We scrimped and saved and our investments now make more than our two incomes combined. They’ll pay the bills should we retire. That’s the end game. To have your money work for you should you survive long enough to see it. Isn’t that what most of us are trying to achieve? 😛
 
   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #42  
Who knew it costs almost nothing to generates and a fortune to distribute?

Thats why distribution rates (especially in rural areas) are so much more per kwh than generation.

Look at the miles of power lines, millions of poles that need periodic maintenance, and all the employees, linemen, etc it takes to distribute. All the transformers, meters, etc etc. The distribution side is indeed a HUGE cost of our electrical grid
 
   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #43  
What’s fuzzy about it?

It’s based on a $150 average electric bill. You only get $50 per month to put towards paying off the system once you subtract the $100 minimum monthly charges from the electric company.

Let’s plug in a $250 average electric bill. Now you get $150 per month towards paying off the system ASSUMING that the system is the same size and cost as the previous example.

That’s what I’m trying to point out as to why you really have to run the numbers carefully To figure the actual amount you can put towards paying off the system each month, and hoping they don’t do away with net metering during that time period before it’s paid off.

- Figure the cost of the system sized to meet your current needs.
- Look at your average monthly electric bill for the past few years.
- Assume it’s going to go up a bit over the next few years (it always does).
- Take that figured monthly average bill
- Subtract the minimum fee that you’re going to have to pay to the electric company per month.
- The amount left over is the maximum you’re ever going to save per month (and assuming your solar will completely offset that fee each month) that you can put towards the cost of the system.

That’s best case most realistic scenario I can come up with.

And yes, you’re correct that putting money in an interest bearing investment would work. In fact, that’s what my wife and I have done over the past 42 years. We scrimped and saved and our investments now make more than our two incomes combined. They’ll pay the bills should we retire. That’s the end game. To have your money work for you should you survive long enough to see it. Isn’t that what most of us are trying to achieve? 😛
The problem is, that "some" electric companies allow you to offset the entire bill. Like in Roric's example where he posted his bill with an actual credit.

People see this and think that is the "norm". When in fact its rare and MOST electric companies still have minimums even with 100% offsetting solar.

Basically......you need to figure out what your average bill is pre-solar......and what your average bill WILL be post-solar. That difference is the savings that goes towards the initial cost of the solar. And if the payback is 10-15 years or more.....it simply is not worth it IMO.

But it seems a few people, with very generous electric companies, have been able to get that payback/ROI in as little as 4-6 years. Not realistic or attainable for the majority of us....but kudos to those that can take advantage of it
 
   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #44  
At the root of the “fuzzy” math is the fact that the price consumers pay (or earn) for electricity is disassociated from actual (supply and demand) market forces (which change hour by hour, day by day).
You pay the same price whether there’s a 5000% supply surplus on a windy, sunny day, and conversely, when the demand is so high the utility has to buy power at 2x the rate they bill you for it.

The consumer is removed from reality of the supply and true market forces.

This is because: 1) How meters currently work and are billed. 2) Household levels of electrical power can’t be (practically) stored. 3) Consumers expectations and consciousness of their energy usage. (“I want it now!”)
 
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   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #45  
Solar has worked out well for us. Cash cost was $29,200, net cost was about $20k after tax credit. Our monthly electricity bills at that time were about $340 a month - today at current rates would exceed $450 a month - and that cose keeps increasing. The system will have paid for itself at the end of this year. If I use an average electricity bill of $400 a month, we are saving $4,800 a year - year after year.

As for selling back any excess electricity you generated - don't count on that. There is a huge difference between what they charge customers and what they will pay you - if anything. I called the utility to ask about that and they said they pay their solar customers for excess power at the same ratd as they can buy the power from elsewhere - and that the difference between what they pay and charge is attributed to the costs of maintenance and distribution.

And - if you have two meters and aggragate, in Califronia, they don't buy any of the excess power at all.

But, we are very happy with solar - don't worry about running the AC jacking up huge power bills - even though I still go around turning off unused lights - that is just a habit. A storage system would be nice - in case of an outage - but still a bit costly.
 
   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #46  
The problem is, that "some" electric companies allow you to offset the entire bill. Like in Roric's example where he posted his bill with an actual credit.

People see this and think that is the "norm". When in fact its rare and MOST electric companies still have minimums even with 100% offsetting solar.

Basically......you need to figure out what your average bill is pre-solar......and what your average bill WILL be post-solar. That difference is the savings that goes towards the initial cost of the solar. And if the payback is 10-15 years or more.....it simply is not worth it IMO.

But it seems a few people, with very generous electric companies, have been able to get that payback/ROI in as little as 4-6 years. Not realistic or attainable for the majority of us....but kudos to those that can take advantage of it
I thought that‘s what I said.

😛
 
   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #47  
Solar has worked out well for us. Cash cost was $29,200, net cost was about $20k after tax credit. Our monthly electricity bills at that time were about $340 a month - today at current rates would exceed $450 a month - and that cose keeps increasing. The system will have paid for itself at the end of this year. If I use an average electricity bill of $400 a month, we are saving $4,800 a year - year after year.

As for selling back any excess electricity you generated - don't count on that. There is a huge difference between what they charge customers and what they will pay you - if anything. I called the utility to ask about that and they said they pay their solar customers for excess power at the same ratd as they can buy the power from elsewhere - and that the difference between what they pay and charge is attributed to the costs of maintenance and distribution.

And - if you have two meters and aggragate, in Califronia, they don't buy any of the excess power at all.

But, we are very happy with solar - don't worry about running the AC jacking up huge power bills - even though I still go around turning off unused lights - that is just a habit. A storage system would be nice - in case of an outage - but still a bit costly.
AT $400 per month it would take 50 months to pay off your $20K system. That’s just over 4 years, and a good return on investment. (y)
 
   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #48  
Yep, they are all different for sure. With 12 kW solar system I would have to sell back enough excess to offset the $23/mo meter charge + $60/mo so;ar charge to end up net zero. The $60 is to penalize the solar customer for the customers that aren't solar. That being said, I have no idea how to calculate my excess power per month to even know if I can end up net zero. I think that is realistically doable. The wrench in the whole thing is that they can change the rules we play by at any time. It's definately a risk but is it a risk worth taking?
I don't see it as penalizing solar customers.
Thats why distribution rates (especially in rural areas) are so much more per kwh than generation.

Look at the miles of power lines, millions of poles that need periodic maintenance, and all the employees, linemen, etc it takes to distribute. All the transformers, meters, etc etc. The distribution side is indeed a HUGE cost of our electrical grid
I agree.

This is why a power bill has two basic parts; one part is the electricity that you use, and utilities charge us the generation cost plus a little markup to cover the vagaries of changing power costs over time. Fine.

The second part of the bill is all the fixed costs associated with actually getting the power from the various places that is generated to us. That's wires, poles, towers, transformers, switches, and all of the costs of the employees to run the organization.

Even if you generate solar to cover most or all of your bills over the year, chances are that some moments you are sending power to the grid, and some moments you are taking it from the grid. For us, we are net exporters March through October, and net importers the rest of the year. At the end of the year, we are net exporters, but the payment is at close to wholesale generation rates, and less all the meter fees and certain fees not directly canceled by our exports. We have a local electrical storage system, so we actually draw nothing from the grid from March through October, but that is an unusual setup at the moment. With more electric vehicles capable of vehicle to home or vehicle to grid, it will become more common.

In the big picture, we effectively use the grid as a battery storing our summer excess for winter use.

Personally, I think it is fair for the utility to charge us for use of the grid, aka all of the part two charges above. It is often billed as meter fees, distribution fees, etc. Historically, it didn't really matter how the fees were constructed, and by making the fees per kWh, it was actually a progressive tax on the biggest users, who subsidized small users. Widespread solar is disrupting that because the per kWh billing of distribution fees breaks down. I see utilities across the world scrambling to figure out a solar compatible fee structure and at the moment it isn't quite chaos, nor exactly the Wild West, but it is unsettled and evolving.

I think that the utilities would be well served to have a fixed monthly fee for grid access, and it will be required to be connected to the grid, so that there aren't a small remaining pool of customers paying for the whole grid. I think that the uproar a single fee would generate means that there are going to be a couple tiers based on something (total import level, income, usage at peak TOU, size of your meter, etc.). It will be interesting for sure, and being large utilities that are all government regulated, I think that change will take time, a long time.

FWIW: our system was paid off in 5.5 years, though at installation the ROI timeline was 7 years. That counts not just the cost of the system against the utility bills, but also the return on investment for the funds had they been invested elsewhere. California's energy costs are high. Some might say crazy high. That has made installing solar an easy decision, even for those who financed it. With rising interest rates, but with rising inflation, and rising utility costs, I think that the decision is complex these days.

All the best,

Peter
 
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   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #49  
There are studies that show that residential solar is actually a benefit to the utility companies. As the amount of solar increases, the utilities find that they can forgo upgrades in generation capacity and transmission despite increase demand. Of course the downside for the utility is a decrease in revenue and profit. It is more of a myth that customers without solar are paying the price to subsidize those with solar. All of these fees that some utilities add if you have solar installed are primarily to offset the loss of revenue. Most utility peaks occur during the day, when AC might be peaking in warm climates and most businesses are additional load on the grid. This is also the time when solar is at the max output. If your utility penalizes you for adding solar, ask them why.

paul
 
   / Solar Interest and Selling Power Back #50  
There are studies that show that residential solar is actually a benefit to the utility companies. As the amount of solar increases, the utilities find that they can forgo upgrades in generation capacity and transmission despite increase demand. Of course the downside for the utility is a decrease in revenue and profit. It is more of a myth that customers without solar are paying the price to subsidize those with solar. All of these fees that some utilities add if you have solar installed are primarily to offset the loss of revenue. Most utility peaks occur during the day, when AC might be peaking in warm climates and most businesses are additional load on the grid. This is also the time when solar is at the max output. If your utility penalizes you for adding solar, ask them why.

paul
It's not a penalty. It's cost of doing business.

My coop buys power from AEP and first energy. They pay 3¢ per kWh.....they add 8¢ per kWh to cover their costs of line maintenance, equipment, distribution, billing, etc etc. And a $50 meter fee.

Joe blow down the street installs solar and generates excess. Is it fair to pay him 11¢ per kWh? Sure....the electric company charges me and him that amount. But they have to pay their bills too. So if they start paying 11¢ to buy electricity instead of 3¢....it's driving up everyone's cost.
 

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